Total Excess Mortality Surveillance for Real-Time Decision-Making in Disasters and Crises. 2023

Carlos Santos-Burgoa, and Alejandra Garcia-Meza, and Maria Jose Talayero, and Nolan Kuenster, and Ann S Goldman Hawes, and Elizabeth Andrade
The George Washington University.

Crises such as Hurricane Maria and the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic have revealed that untimely reporting of the death toll results in inadequate interventions, impacts communication, and fuels distrust on response agencies. Delays in establishing mortality are due to the contested definition of deaths attributable to a disaster and lack of rapid collection of vital statistics data from inadequate health system infrastructure. Readily available death counts, combined with geographic, demographic, and socioeconomic data, can serve as a baseline to build a continuous mortality surveillance system. In an emergency setting, real-time Total, All-cause, Excess Mortality (TEM) can be a critical tool, granting authorities timely information ensuring a targeted response and reduce disaster impact. TEM measurement can identify spikes in mortality, including geographic disparities and disproportionate deaths in vulnerable populations. This study recommends that measuring total, all-cause, excess mortality as a first line of response should become the global standard for measuring disaster impact.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D009026 Mortality All deaths reported in a given population. CFR Case Fatality Rate,Crude Death Rate,Crude Mortality Rate,Death Rate,Age Specific Death Rate,Age-Specific Death Rate,Case Fatality Rate,Decline, Mortality,Determinants, Mortality,Differential Mortality,Excess Mortality,Mortality Decline,Mortality Determinants,Mortality Rate,Mortality, Differential,Mortality, Excess,Age-Specific Death Rates,Case Fatality Rates,Crude Death Rates,Crude Mortality Rates,Death Rate, Age-Specific,Death Rate, Crude,Death Rates,Determinant, Mortality,Differential Mortalities,Excess Mortalities,Mortalities,Mortality Declines,Mortality Determinant,Mortality Rate, Crude,Mortality Rates,Rate, Age-Specific Death,Rate, Case Fatality,Rate, Crude Death,Rate, Crude Mortality,Rate, Death,Rate, Mortality,Rates, Case Fatality
D004190 Disasters Calamities producing great damage, loss of life, and distress. They include results of natural phenomena and man-made phenomena. Normal conditions of existence are disrupted and the level of impact exceeds the capacity of the hazard-affected community.
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000086382 COVID-19 A viral disorder generally characterized by high FEVER; COUGH; DYSPNEA; CHILLS; PERSISTENT TREMOR; MUSCLE PAIN; HEADACHE; SORE THROAT; a new loss of taste and/or smell (see AGEUSIA and ANOSMIA) and other symptoms of a VIRAL PNEUMONIA. In severe cases, a myriad of coagulopathy associated symptoms often correlating with COVID-19 severity is seen (e.g., BLOOD COAGULATION; THROMBOSIS; ACUTE RESPIRATORY DISTRESS SYNDROME; SEIZURES; HEART ATTACK; STROKE; multiple CEREBRAL INFARCTIONS; KIDNEY FAILURE; catastrophic ANTIPHOSPHOLIPID ANTIBODY SYNDROME and/or DISSEMINATED INTRAVASCULAR COAGULATION). In younger patients, rare inflammatory syndromes are sometimes associated with COVID-19 (e.g., atypical KAWASAKI SYNDROME; TOXIC SHOCK SYNDROME; pediatric multisystem inflammatory disease; and CYTOKINE STORM SYNDROME). A coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, in the genus BETACORONAVIRUS is the causative agent. 2019 Novel Coronavirus Disease,2019 Novel Coronavirus Infection,2019-nCoV Disease,2019-nCoV Infection,COVID-19 Pandemic,COVID-19 Pandemics,COVID-19 Virus Disease,COVID-19 Virus Infection,Coronavirus Disease 2019,Coronavirus Disease-19,SARS Coronavirus 2 Infection,SARS-CoV-2 Infection,Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Infection,COVID19,2019 nCoV Disease,2019 nCoV Infection,2019-nCoV Diseases,2019-nCoV Infections,COVID 19,COVID 19 Pandemic,COVID 19 Virus Disease,COVID 19 Virus Infection,COVID-19 Virus Diseases,COVID-19 Virus Infections,Coronavirus Disease 19,Disease 2019, Coronavirus,Disease, 2019-nCoV,Disease, COVID-19 Virus,Infection, 2019-nCoV,Infection, COVID-19 Virus,Infection, SARS-CoV-2,Pandemic, COVID-19,SARS CoV 2 Infection,SARS-CoV-2 Infections,Virus Disease, COVID-19,Virus Infection, COVID-19
D055867 Cyclonic Storms Non-frontal low-pressure systems over tropical or sub-tropical waters with organized convection and definite pattern of surface wind circulation. Cyclone,Cyclones,Hurricane,Hurricanes,Tropical Storm,Typhoon,Typhoons,Cyclonic Storm,Storm, Cyclonic,Storm, Tropical,Storms, Cyclonic,Storms, Tropical,Tropical Storms
D058873 Pandemics Epidemics of infectious disease that have spread to many countries, often more than one continent, and usually affecting a large number of people. Pandemic

Related Publications

Carlos Santos-Burgoa, and Alejandra Garcia-Meza, and Maria Jose Talayero, and Nolan Kuenster, and Ann S Goldman Hawes, and Elizabeth Andrade
November 2014, Journal of hospital medicine,
Carlos Santos-Burgoa, and Alejandra Garcia-Meza, and Maria Jose Talayero, and Nolan Kuenster, and Ann S Goldman Hawes, and Elizabeth Andrade
March 2023, BMC health services research,
Carlos Santos-Burgoa, and Alejandra Garcia-Meza, and Maria Jose Talayero, and Nolan Kuenster, and Ann S Goldman Hawes, and Elizabeth Andrade
January 2017, PloS one,
Carlos Santos-Burgoa, and Alejandra Garcia-Meza, and Maria Jose Talayero, and Nolan Kuenster, and Ann S Goldman Hawes, and Elizabeth Andrade
January 2009, Psychological science in the public interest : a journal of the American Psychological Society,
Carlos Santos-Burgoa, and Alejandra Garcia-Meza, and Maria Jose Talayero, and Nolan Kuenster, and Ann S Goldman Hawes, and Elizabeth Andrade
August 2001, Annals of surgery,
Carlos Santos-Burgoa, and Alejandra Garcia-Meza, and Maria Jose Talayero, and Nolan Kuenster, and Ann S Goldman Hawes, and Elizabeth Andrade
May 2021, The Lancet. Oncology,
Carlos Santos-Burgoa, and Alejandra Garcia-Meza, and Maria Jose Talayero, and Nolan Kuenster, and Ann S Goldman Hawes, and Elizabeth Andrade
July 2018, PLoS computational biology,
Carlos Santos-Burgoa, and Alejandra Garcia-Meza, and Maria Jose Talayero, and Nolan Kuenster, and Ann S Goldman Hawes, and Elizabeth Andrade
July 2017, Journal of biomedical informatics,
Carlos Santos-Burgoa, and Alejandra Garcia-Meza, and Maria Jose Talayero, and Nolan Kuenster, and Ann S Goldman Hawes, and Elizabeth Andrade
January 2021, mHealth,
Carlos Santos-Burgoa, and Alejandra Garcia-Meza, and Maria Jose Talayero, and Nolan Kuenster, and Ann S Goldman Hawes, and Elizabeth Andrade
November 2021, Nature human behaviour,
Copied contents to your clipboard!