Modern Statistical Methods for the Surgeon Scientist: The Clash of Frequentist versus Bayesian Paradigms. 2023

Daniel Lammers, and John McClellan
Department of General Surgery, Madigan Army Medical Center, 9040 Jackson Avenue, Tacoma, WA 98431, USA. Electronic address: dtlammer@gmail.com.

The practice of evidence-based medicine is the result of a multitude of research and trials aimed toward improving health-care outcomes. An understanding of the associated data remains paramount toward optimizing patient outcomes. Medical statistics commonly revolve around frequentist concepts that are convoluted and nonintuitive for nonstatisticians. Within this article, we will discuss frequentist statistics, their limitations, as well as introduce Bayesian statistics as an alternative approach for data interpretation. By doing so, we intend to highlight the importance of correct statistical interpretations through clinically relevant examples while providing a deeper understanding of the underlying philosophies of frequentist and Bayesian statistics.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D001499 Bayes Theorem A theorem in probability theory named for Thomas Bayes (1702-1761). In epidemiology, it is used to obtain the probability of disease in a group of people with some characteristic on the basis of the overall rate of that disease and of the likelihood of that characteristic in healthy and diseased individuals. The most familiar application is in clinical decision analysis where it is used for estimating the probability of a particular diagnosis given the appearance of some symptoms or test result. Bayesian Analysis,Bayesian Estimation,Bayesian Forecast,Bayesian Method,Bayesian Prediction,Analysis, Bayesian,Bayesian Approach,Approach, Bayesian,Approachs, Bayesian,Bayesian Approachs,Estimation, Bayesian,Forecast, Bayesian,Method, Bayesian,Prediction, Bayesian,Theorem, Bayes
D019317 Evidence-Based Medicine An approach of practicing medicine with the goal to improve and evaluate patient care. It requires the judicious integration of best research evidence with the patient's values to make decisions about medical care. This method is to help physicians make proper diagnosis, devise best testing plan, choose best treatment and methods of disease prevention, as well as develop guidelines for large groups of patients with the same disease. (from JAMA 296 (9), 2006) Medicine, Evidence-Based,Evidence Based Medicine,Medicine, Evidence Based
D066231 Surgeons Medical practitioners qualified to practice surgery.

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