Decreasing incidence of stroke, ischaemic heart disease and dementia in Norway, 1990-2019, a Global Burden of Disease study: an opportunity. 2023

Abolfazl Avan, and Anne Hege Aamodt, and Geir Selbaek, and Gunnar Bovim, and Claudio L A Bassetti, and Paul Boon, and Wolfgang Grisold, and Vladimir Hachinski
Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Robarts Research Institute, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada.

The declining incidence of stroke, ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and dementia (the 'triple threat') in Norway encourages further investigation. The risks and trends of the three conditions were analysed using data from the Global Burden of Disease study. Global Burden of Disease 2019 estimations were used for age-, sex- and risk-factor-specific incidence and prevalence of the 'triple threat', their risk-factor-attributed deaths and disability combined, their age-standardized rates per 100,000 population in 2019 and their changes during 1990-2019. Data are presented as means and 95% uncertainty intervals. In 2019, 71.1 thousand Norwegians were living with dementia, 157.2 thousand with IHD and 95.2 thousand with stroke. In 2019, there were 9.9 thousand (8.5 to 11.3) new cases of dementia (35.0% increase since 1990), 17.0 thousand (14.6 to 19.6) with IHD (3.6% decrease) and 8.0 thousand (7.0 to 9.1) with stroke (12.9% decrease) in Norway. During 1990-2019, their age-standardized incidence rates decreased significantly-dementia by -5.4% (-8.4% to -3.2%), IHD by -30.0% (-31.4% to -28.6%) and stroke by -35.3% (-38.3% to -32.2%). There were significant declines in the attributable risks to both environmental and behavioural factors in Norway, but contradictory trends for metabolic risk factors during 1990-2019. The risk of the 'triple threat' conditions is declining in Norway, despite the increased prevalence. This offers the opportunity to find out why and how and to accelerate their joint prevention through new approaches and the promotion of the National Brain Health Strategy.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D009664 Norway A country located in northern Europe, bordering the North Sea and the Atlantic Ocean, west of Sweden. The capital is Oslo. Kingdom of Norway
D003324 Coronary Artery Disease Pathological processes of CORONARY ARTERIES that may derive from a congenital abnormality, atherosclerotic, or non-atherosclerotic cause. Arteriosclerosis, Coronary,Atherosclerosis, Coronary,Coronary Arteriosclerosis,Coronary Atherosclerosis,Left Main Coronary Artery Disease,Left Main Coronary Disease,Left Main Disease,Arterioscleroses, Coronary,Artery Disease, Coronary,Artery Diseases, Coronary,Atheroscleroses, Coronary,Coronary Arterioscleroses,Coronary Artery Diseases,Coronary Atheroscleroses,Left Main Diseases
D003704 Dementia An acquired organic mental disorder with loss of intellectual abilities of sufficient severity to interfere with social or occupational functioning. The dysfunction is multifaceted and involves memory, behavior, personality, judgment, attention, spatial relations, language, abstract thought, and other executive functions. The intellectual decline is usually progressive, and initially spares the level of consciousness. Senile Paranoid Dementia,Amentia,Familial Dementia,Amentias,Dementia, Familial,Dementias,Dementias, Familial,Dementias, Senile Paranoid,Familial Dementias,Paranoid Dementia, Senile,Paranoid Dementias, Senile,Senile Paranoid Dementias
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000071219 Global Burden of Disease Use of various metrics to measure death and loss of health due to diseases, injuries and RISK FACTORS for all regions of the world. Global Disease Burden,Disease Burden, Global,Disease Global Burdens,Global Disease Burdens
D012307 Risk Factors An aspect of personal behavior or lifestyle, environmental exposure, inborn or inherited characteristic, which, based on epidemiological evidence, is known to be associated with a health-related condition considered important to prevent. Health Correlates,Risk Factor Scores,Risk Scores,Social Risk Factors,Population at Risk,Populations at Risk,Correlates, Health,Factor, Risk,Factor, Social Risk,Factors, Social Risk,Risk Factor,Risk Factor Score,Risk Factor, Social,Risk Factors, Social,Risk Score,Score, Risk,Score, Risk Factor,Social Risk Factor
D014943 Global Health A multi- and interdisciplinary field concerned with improving health and achieving equity in health for all people. It transcends national boundaries, promotes cooperation and collaboration within and beyond health science fields, and combines population-based disease prevention with individually-based patient care. International Health Problems,World Health,International Health,Worldwide Health,Health Problem, International,Health Problems, International,Health, Global,Health, International,Health, World,Health, Worldwide,Healths, International,International Health Problem,International Healths,Problem, International Health,Problems, International Health
D015994 Incidence The number of new cases of a given disease during a given period in a specified population. It also is used for the rate at which new events occur in a defined population. It is differentiated from PREVALENCE, which refers to all cases in the population at a given time. Attack Rate,Cumulative Incidence,Incidence Proportion,Incidence Rate,Person-time Rate,Secondary Attack Rate,Attack Rate, Secondary,Attack Rates,Cumulative Incidences,Incidence Proportions,Incidence Rates,Incidence, Cumulative,Incidences,Person time Rate,Person-time Rates,Proportion, Incidence,Rate, Attack,Rate, Incidence,Rate, Person-time,Rate, Secondary Attack,Secondary Attack Rates
D017202 Myocardial Ischemia A disorder of cardiac function caused by insufficient blood flow to the muscle tissue of the heart. The decreased blood flow may be due to narrowing of the coronary arteries (CORONARY ARTERY DISEASE), to obstruction by a thrombus (CORONARY THROMBOSIS), or less commonly, to diffuse narrowing of arterioles and other small vessels within the heart. Severe interruption of the blood supply to the myocardial tissue may result in necrosis of cardiac muscle (MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION). Heart Disease, Ischemic,Ischemia, Myocardial,Ischemic Heart Disease,Disease, Ischemic Heart,Diseases, Ischemic Heart,Heart Diseases, Ischemic,Ischemias, Myocardial,Ischemic Heart Diseases,Myocardial Ischemias
D019057 Quality-Adjusted Life Years A measurement index derived from a modification of standard life-table procedures and designed to take account of the quality as well as the duration of survival. This index can be used in assessing the outcome of health care procedures or services. (BIOETHICS Thesaurus, 1994) Adjusted Life Year,Healthy Years Equivalent,QALYs,QUALYs,Quality Adjusted Life Year,Quality-Adjusted Life Year,Adjusted Life Years,Healthy Years Equivalents,Quality Adjusted Life Years,Equivalents, Healthy Years,Life Year, Adjusted,Life Year, Quality-Adjusted,Life Years, Adjusted,Life Years, Quality-Adjusted,QUALY,Years, Adjusted Life

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