Factors Associated With Mortality During the First Year Post Infarction: Survival Analysis of Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction in Colombia. 2024

Anderson Bermon, and Maricel Licht-Ardila, and Fabián Manrique-Hernández, and Alexandra Hurtado-Ortiz, and Diana Cañon, and Carlos Federico Molina Castaño
Epidemiology, Escuela de Graduados, Universidad CES, Medellin, COL.

BACKGROUND Cardiovascular diseases account for over 80% of global deaths. Risk factors and social determinants influence mortality in patients post acute myocardial infarction (AMI). OBJECTIVE To evaluate factors associated with post-AMI mortality during the one-year follow-up. METHODS The study is a prospective cohort study of adults aged 18 years and older with type 1 AMI conducted between October 2021 and January 2024. Intrahospital and outpatient information was collected. Statistical analyses included the Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Cox regression analysis. Proportional hazards and model predictive capacity were evaluated. RESULTS A total of 1873 patients were included, with a 9.4% mortality rate in the first year. At one year, the estimated survival probability was 88.61% (95% CI: 86.82-90.18). Cox analysis identified several factors associated with mortality, highlighting age (HR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.06, p = 0.001), diabetes (HR = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.09-2.87, p = 0.020), renal insufficiency (HR = 2.25, 95% CI: 1.32-3.84, p = 0.003), and type of intervention. The model evaluation showed strong predictive capacity. CONCLUSIONS It is essential to emphasize the importance of comprehensive management in AMI patients with risk factors such as diabetes and chronic kidney disease, as they are significant predictors of mortality during the first year post infarction.

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