The risk of tuberculous infection in The Netherlands from 1967 to 1979. 1983

I Sutherland, and M A Bleiker, and J Meijer, and K Stýblo

Estimates of the annual risks of tuberculous infection in the Netherlands from 1910 to 1966 were made by Stýblo et al. [1] from tuberculin surveys in recruits and schoolchildren. The risk decreased particularly steeply after about 1940 (the annual decrease in log risk was about 13%), and forward projections of the risk were made on this basis to 1980. Tuberculin test results in male recruits and in secondary or primary schoolchildren between 1966 and 1979 have now been used, alone and in conjunction with the earlier material, to estimate the trend in the risk of tuberculous infection in the Netherlands up to 1979, and to study the sex and age patterns in the risk. The risk of infection has continued to decrease steeply with calendar year in the Netherlands. Among the recruits the log risk, estimated only from the data from 1966 to 1979, decreased annually by 10.4%, compared with the estimate of 13.7% from the earlier data from 1956 to 1966; this difference is non-significant. Analysis of the complete data on schoolchildren from 1956 to 1979 shows a decrease in their log risk of infection of 15.0% each calendar year. The risks of infection were similar for boys and girls up to age 10, but were higher for boys than for girls (by 10.2%) during adolescence. In addition there was an increase in log risk of about 6.1% for each year of age up to age 20. According to this analysis, the annual risks of tuberculous infection in 1979 in the Netherlands were estimated to be 6, 9, 12, and 16 in 100 000 boys aged 5, 10, 15 and 20 years respectively, and 6, 9, 11 and 15 in 100 000 girls.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008887 Military Medicine The practice of medicine as applied to special circumstances associated with military operations. Medicine, Military
D009426 Netherlands Country located in EUROPE. It is bordered by the NORTH SEA, BELGIUM, and GERMANY. Constituent areas are Aruba, Curacao, and Sint Maarten, formerly included in the NETHERLANDS ANTILLES. Holland,Kingdom of the Netherlands
D011159 Population Surveillance Ongoing scrutiny of a population (general population, study population, target population, etc.), generally using methods distinguished by their practicability, uniformity, and frequently their rapidity, rather than by complete accuracy. Surveillance, Population
D002648 Child A person 6 to 12 years of age. An individual 2 to 5 years old is CHILD, PRESCHOOL. Children
D002675 Child, Preschool A child between the ages of 2 and 5. Children, Preschool,Preschool Child,Preschool Children
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000293 Adolescent A person 13 to 18 years of age. Adolescence,Youth,Adolescents,Adolescents, Female,Adolescents, Male,Teenagers,Teens,Adolescent, Female,Adolescent, Male,Female Adolescent,Female Adolescents,Male Adolescent,Male Adolescents,Teen,Teenager,Youths
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults

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