Monitoring of unfavorable reproductive outcome (URO) among occupationally exposed groups. 1984

J R Goldsmith, and R Israeli, and J Elkins

In the Negev Region of Israel, population 300,000, with a centralized health care and health data system, we propose to monitor associations of occupational exposure with the following URO (approximate rates in parenthesis): infertility (10%), spontaneous abortion (10%), stillbirth (1%), pregnancy complications (5%), specific birth defects (1%), all birth defects (5%), low birth weight (5%), neonatal morbidity (5%); all URO (25%). Critical covariates include smoking, age, contraceptive use, coexisting disease, parity, spouse exposures, and past reproductivity history. Currently exposed women are estimated to include 150 in hospital operating rooms, 200 laboratory workers, 75 chemical production workers and 20 in mercury thermometer factory; men include 5000 in chemical production, 1000 in agricultural chemical use, 100 in chemical laboratories and 200 in university and hospital laboratories. Adjusting for expected turnover rates, we estimate that overall exposures which have risks of increased URO will include about 5000 men and 1000 women. Since priority in research resources goes to most feasible detection and prevention combinations, we define and examine "minimal detectable risk ratios" based on expected populations sizes and incidences for a two year cohort study with estimated one "exposed pregnancy" per five person years in this young population. We tabulate these risk ratios using a cutoff for false positive at p=0.05 and false negative at p=0.1. Sex ratio changes represent outcomes relatively easily detected. Proposed application of these criteria to Negev populations and an example of such applications to published work place exposures to dioxins are shown.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007557 Israel A country in the Middle East, bordering the Mediterranean Sea, between Egypt and Lebanon. The capital is Jerusalem.
D007753 Laboratories Facilities equipped to carry out investigative procedures. Laboratory
D008297 Male Males
D009784 Occupational Diseases Diseases caused by factors involved in one's employment. Diseases, Occupational,Occupational Illnesses,Disease, Occupational,Illnesse, Occupational,Illnesses, Occupational,Occupational Disease,Occupational Illnesse
D009873 Operating Rooms Facilities equipped for performing surgery. Operating Room,Room, Operating,Rooms, Operating
D011247 Pregnancy The status during which female mammals carry their developing young (EMBRYOS or FETUSES) in utero before birth, beginning from FERTILIZATION to BIRTH. Gestation,Pregnancies
D011248 Pregnancy Complications Conditions or pathological processes associated with pregnancy. They can occur during or after pregnancy, and range from minor discomforts to serious diseases that require medical interventions. They include diseases in pregnant females, and pregnancies in females with diseases. Adverse Birth Outcomes,Complications, Pregnancy,Adverse Birth Outcome,Birth Outcome, Adverse,Complication, Pregnancy,Outcome, Adverse Birth,Pregnancy Complication
D002617 Chemical Industry The aggregate enterprise of manufacturing and technically producing chemicals. (From Random House Unabridged Dictionary, 2d ed) Industry, Chemical,Chemical Industries,Industries, Chemical
D004782 Environmental Health The science of controlling or modifying those conditions, influences, or forces surrounding man which relate to promoting, establishing, and maintaining health. Environmental Health Science,Health, Environmental,Environmental Health Sciences,Environmental Healths,Health Science, Environmental,Health Sciences, Environmental,Healths, Environmental,Science, Environmental Health,Sciences, Environmental Health
D004812 Epidemiologic Methods Research techniques that focus on study designs and data gathering methods in human and animal populations. Epidemiologic Method,Epidemiological Methods,Methods, Epidemiologic,Epidemiological Method,Method, Epidemiologic,Method, Epidemiological,Methods, Epidemiological

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