Issues in forecasting graduate dental education manpower supply and requirements. 1981

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This paper explores the history of forecasting in dentistry and then focuses on several major forecasting techniques, briefly examining the basic assumptions, data requirements, and strengths and weaknesses of each. In discussing the issues involved in forecasting, the paper isolates three perspectives held by forecasters; health status, social need, and economic. Each approach defines the critical concept of "adequate supply" in a different way. Other issues addressed include: who should engage in forecasting; what methods should be employed; is it worth the effort to forecast requirements for dental specialists; should forecasting be done for small areas; and what is the "political" reality of forecasting.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008389 Marketing of Health Services Application of marketing principles and techniques to maximize the use of health care resources. Health Services Marketing,Marketing Services, Health,Marketing, Health Services,Services, Health Marketing,Health Marketing Service,Health Marketing Services,Marketing Service, Health
D003729 Dental Care The total of dental diagnostic, preventive, and restorative services provided to meet the needs of a patient (from Illustrated Dictionary of Dentistry, 1982). Care, Dental
D003813 Dentistry The profession concerned with the teeth, oral cavity, and associated structures, and the diagnosis and treatment of their diseases including prevention and the restoration of defective and missing tissue.
D003815 Dentists Individuals licensed to practice DENTISTRY. Dentists, Pediatric,Dentists, Prosthetic,Dentists, Restorative,Periodontists,Prosthodontists,Dentist,Dentist, Pediatric,Dentist, Prosthetic,Dentist, Restorative,Pediatric Dentist,Pediatric Dentists,Periodontist,Prosthetic Dentist,Prosthetic Dentists,Prosthodontist,Restorative Dentist,Restorative Dentists
D004468 Economics, Dental Economic aspects of the dental profession and dental care. Dental Economics
D005544 Forecasting The prediction or projection of the nature of future problems or existing conditions based upon the extrapolation or interpretation of existing scientific data or by the application of scientific methodology. Futurology,Projections and Predictions,Future,Predictions and Projections
D006285 Health Planning Planning for needed health and/or welfare services and facilities. Health and Welfare Planning,National Health Planning and Resources Development Act of 1974,Planning, Health and Welfare,State Health Planning, United States,PL93-641,Public Law 93-641,Planning, Health,Public Law 93 641
D006301 Health Services Needs and Demand Health services required by a population or community as well as the health services that the population or community is able and willing to pay for. Health Services Needs,Needs,Needs and Demand, Health Services,Target Population,Health Services Need,Need, Health Services,Needs, Health Services,Population, Target,Populations, Target,Target Populations
D014481 United States A country in NORTH AMERICA between CANADA and MEXICO.

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