An objective method for early diagnosis of gram-negative septicemia in burned children. 1981

H F Carvajal, and R Feinstein, and D L Traber, and D H Parks, and R Kiker, and D L Larson, and E B Whorton

The present investigation was undertaken to standardize the early diagnosis of Gram-negative septicemia in burned children. Data were collected by means of a matrix which encompassed eight clinical variables routinely monitored by nursing personnel. These variables were evaluated according to their severity using a numerical scale of 0 to 3. A sepsis score was thus calculated for each of 243 burned patients, three times a day throughout their entire hospitalization. Eighty patients with suspiciously high scores (controls) were subjected to a battery of ten laboratory tests aimed at confirming the presence or absence of septicemia. During the 26 months of the study 16 patients (22 episodes) had clinical and laboratory evidence of Gram-negative septicemia. Multiple regression and discriminant analysis techniques were then used to develop statistical models for early diagnosis of septicemia. The two most practical and reliable of these are reported herein. Model I and II would have predicted the diagnosis of sepsis, 83% and 86% of the time, respectively, 1 day before the diagnosis was made using conventional methods. The false positive rates of Models I and II were 7% and 3%, respectively. On the basis of this information it seems possible and rewarding to utilize decision-making charts for monitoring and diagnosis of septicemia.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008962 Models, Theoretical Theoretical representations that simulate the behavior or activity of systems, processes, or phenomena. They include the use of mathematical equations, computers, and other electronic equipment. Experimental Model,Experimental Models,Mathematical Model,Model, Experimental,Models (Theoretical),Models, Experimental,Models, Theoretic,Theoretical Study,Mathematical Models,Model (Theoretical),Model, Mathematical,Model, Theoretical,Models, Mathematical,Studies, Theoretical,Study, Theoretical,Theoretical Model,Theoretical Models,Theoretical Studies
D012044 Regression Analysis Procedures for finding the mathematical function which best describes the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. In linear regression (see LINEAR MODELS) the relationship is constrained to be a straight line and LEAST-SQUARES ANALYSIS is used to determine the best fit. In logistic regression (see LOGISTIC MODELS) the dependent variable is qualitative rather than continuously variable and LIKELIHOOD FUNCTIONS are used to find the best relationship. In multiple regression, the dependent variable is considered to depend on more than a single independent variable. Regression Diagnostics,Statistical Regression,Analysis, Regression,Analyses, Regression,Diagnostics, Regression,Regression Analyses,Regression, Statistical,Regressions, Statistical,Statistical Regressions
D002056 Burns Injuries to tissues caused by contact with heat, steam, chemicals (BURNS, CHEMICAL), electricity (BURNS, ELECTRIC), or the like. Burn
D002648 Child A person 6 to 12 years of age. An individual 2 to 5 years old is CHILD, PRESCHOOL. Children
D003657 Decision Making The process of making a selective intellectual judgment when presented with several complex alternatives consisting of several variables, and usually defining a course of action or an idea. Credit Assignment,Assignment, Credit,Assignments, Credit,Credit Assignments
D005189 False Positive Reactions Positive test results in subjects who do not possess the attribute for which the test is conducted. The labeling of healthy persons as diseased when screening in the detection of disease. (Last, A Dictionary of Epidemiology, 2d ed) False Positive Reaction,Positive Reaction, False,Positive Reactions, False,Reaction, False Positive,Reactions, False Positive
D006088 Gram-Negative Aerobic Bacteria A large group of aerobic bacteria which show up as pink (negative) when treated by the gram-staining method. This is because the cell walls of gram-negative bacteria are low in peptidoglycan and thus have low affinity for violet stain and high affinity for the pink dye safranine. Achromatiaceae,Achromatium,Achromobacteriaceae,Gram Negative Aerobic Bacteria
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000293 Adolescent A person 13 to 18 years of age. Adolescence,Youth,Adolescents,Adolescents, Female,Adolescents, Male,Teenagers,Teens,Adolescent, Female,Adolescent, Male,Female Adolescent,Female Adolescents,Male Adolescent,Male Adolescents,Teen,Teenager,Youths
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults

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