[Dynamic ECG, exercise stress testing and coronary arteriography for the diagnosis of ischaemic heart disease. A Bayesian analysis of probability (author's transl)]. 1981

C Vassanelli, and G Menegatti, and P Bernardi, and C Buonanno, and L Rossi, and D Olivieri, and A Poppi

In spite of great technological improvement in Ambulatory ECG Monitoring (AEM), there is still debate about its reliability in detecting ECG signs of myocardial ischemia and about the utility of AEM and Exercise Stress Testing (ET)--apart and/or in association--to predict Coronary Artery Disease (CAD). 50 consecutive male patients (pts) (mean age 51 +/- 69 years, 37 to 64 years) were studied for precordial chest pain. 17 had evidence of previous myocardial infarction. Resting ECG was normal in 21 pts and abnormal in 29; no pt received therapy during the examination period. ECG recordings were considered positive for ischemic ECG changes if there was greater than or equal to 1 mm of horizontal or down sloping ST-segment depression or ST-segment elevation of the same degree for greater than or equal to 0.08 sec in at least 15 consecutive beats; coronary arteriography was considered positive for significant CAD if any major vessel had greater than or equal to 75% luminal diameter narrowing. The percentage of false negative results was similar in AEM and ET (22.7% vs 22.2%); the false positives were few with both tests: 2 pts and 1 pt respectively; Bayesian probability (post-test likelihood for disease) calculated using the prevalence of CAD estimated from 2124 male pts who underwent coronary angiography in our Laboratory, for a given test result was very high: 97.1% +/- 1.3% (AEM), 98.6% +/- 1.1% (ET) and 98.1% +/- 1.1% (AEM & ET if concordant); post-test likelihood for CAD in a patient who did not show the given test result decreased to 67.8% +/- 1.3% (AEM), 60.9% +/- 1.1% (ET) and 52.1% +/- 1.1% (AEM & ET if concordant). The application of Bayes' theorem to these two non invasive tests improves the evaluation of patients with suspected CAD; the association of AEM and ET enhances the diagnostic accuracy.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D003327 Coronary Disease An imbalance between myocardial functional requirements and the capacity of the CORONARY VESSELS to supply sufficient blood flow. It is a form of MYOCARDIAL ISCHEMIA (insufficient blood supply to the heart muscle) caused by a decreased capacity of the coronary vessels. Coronary Heart Disease,Coronary Diseases,Coronary Heart Diseases,Disease, Coronary,Disease, Coronary Heart,Diseases, Coronary,Diseases, Coronary Heart,Heart Disease, Coronary,Heart Diseases, Coronary
D004562 Electrocardiography Recording of the moment-to-moment electromotive forces of the HEART as projected onto various sites on the body's surface, delineated as a scalar function of time. The recording is monitored by a tracing on slow moving chart paper or by observing it on a cardioscope, which is a CATHODE RAY TUBE DISPLAY. 12-Lead ECG,12-Lead EKG,12-Lead Electrocardiography,Cardiography,ECG,EKG,Electrocardiogram,Electrocardiograph,12 Lead ECG,12 Lead EKG,12 Lead Electrocardiography,12-Lead ECGs,12-Lead EKGs,12-Lead Electrocardiographies,Cardiographies,ECG, 12-Lead,EKG, 12-Lead,Electrocardiograms,Electrocardiographies, 12-Lead,Electrocardiographs,Electrocardiography, 12-Lead
D005080 Exercise Test Controlled physical activity which is performed in order to allow assessment of physiological functions, particularly cardiovascular and pulmonary, but also aerobic capacity. Maximal (most intense) exercise is usually required but submaximal exercise is also used. Arm Ergometry Test,Bicycle Ergometry Test,Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing,Exercise Testing,Step Test,Stress Test,Treadmill Test,Cardiopulmonary Exercise Test,EuroFit Tests,Eurofit Test Battery,European Fitness Testing Battery,Fitness Testing,Physical Fitness Testing,Arm Ergometry Tests,Bicycle Ergometry Tests,Cardiopulmonary Exercise Tests,Ergometry Test, Arm,Ergometry Test, Bicycle,Ergometry Tests, Arm,Ergometry Tests, Bicycle,EuroFit Test,Eurofit Test Batteries,Exercise Test, Cardiopulmonary,Exercise Testing, Cardiopulmonary,Exercise Tests,Exercise Tests, Cardiopulmonary,Fitness Testing, Physical,Fitness Testings,Step Tests,Stress Tests,Test Battery, Eurofit,Test, Arm Ergometry,Test, Bicycle Ergometry,Test, Cardiopulmonary Exercise,Test, EuroFit,Test, Exercise,Test, Step,Test, Stress,Test, Treadmill,Testing, Cardiopulmonary Exercise,Testing, Exercise,Testing, Fitness,Testing, Physical Fitness,Tests, Arm Ergometry,Tests, Bicycle Ergometry,Tests, Cardiopulmonary Exercise,Tests, EuroFit,Tests, Exercise,Tests, Step,Tests, Stress,Tests, Treadmill,Treadmill Tests
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D001499 Bayes Theorem A theorem in probability theory named for Thomas Bayes (1702-1761). In epidemiology, it is used to obtain the probability of disease in a group of people with some characteristic on the basis of the overall rate of that disease and of the likelihood of that characteristic in healthy and diseased individuals. The most familiar application is in clinical decision analysis where it is used for estimating the probability of a particular diagnosis given the appearance of some symptoms or test result. Bayesian Analysis,Bayesian Estimation,Bayesian Forecast,Bayesian Method,Bayesian Prediction,Analysis, Bayesian,Bayesian Approach,Approach, Bayesian,Approachs, Bayesian,Bayesian Approachs,Estimation, Bayesian,Forecast, Bayesian,Method, Bayesian,Prediction, Bayesian,Theorem, Bayes
D017023 Coronary Angiography Radiography of the vascular system of the heart muscle after injection of a contrast medium. Angiography, Coronary,Angiographies, Coronary,Coronary Angiographies

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