An easy method of calculating approximate recurrence risks using a multifactorial model of disease transmission. 1980

T P Hutchinson

In the usual form of the multifactorial model of disease transmission, calculation of recurrence risks is made difficult by the necessity to evaluate integrals involving the Normal distribution. It is suggested here that this becomes much easier if the Normal distribution is replaced by the Pareto distribution. Tables are given systematically comparing values of recurrence risk calculated on the Normal and Pareto models when information about two or three first degree relatives is available. Also, a more complicated pedigree is examined. It is shown from these comparisons that the Pareto model gives very similar results to the Normal model.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008957 Models, Genetic Theoretical representations that simulate the behavior or activity of genetic processes or phenomena. They include the use of mathematical equations, computers, and other electronic equipment. Genetic Models,Genetic Model,Model, Genetic
D011336 Probability The study of chance processes or the relative frequency characterizing a chance process. Probabilities
D012008 Recurrence The return of a sign, symptom, or disease after a remission. Recrudescence,Relapse,Recrudescences,Recurrences,Relapses
D002648 Child A person 6 to 12 years of age. An individual 2 to 5 years old is CHILD, PRESCHOOL. Children
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D012306 Risk The probability that an event will occur. It encompasses a variety of measures of the probability of a generally unfavorable outcome. Relative Risk,Relative Risks,Risk, Relative,Risks,Risks, Relative
D030342 Genetic Diseases, Inborn Diseases that are caused by genetic mutations present during embryo or fetal development, although they may be observed later in life. The mutations may be inherited from a parent's genome or they may be acquired in utero. Hereditary Diseases,Genetic Diseases,Genetic Disorders,Hereditary Disease,Inborn Genetic Diseases,Single-Gene Defects,Defect, Single-Gene,Defects, Single-Gene,Disease, Genetic,Disease, Hereditary,Disease, Inborn Genetic,Diseases, Genetic,Diseases, Hereditary,Diseases, Inborn Genetic,Disorder, Genetic,Disorders, Genetic,Genetic Disease,Genetic Disease, Inborn,Genetic Disorder,Inborn Genetic Disease,Single Gene Defects,Single-Gene Defect

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