Tracking of blood pressure over a 40-year period in the University of Manitoba Follow-up Study, 1948-1988. 1995

R B Tate, and J Manfreda, and A D Krahn, and T E Cuddy
Department of Community Health Sciences, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada.

High blood pressure is a well-recognized, modifiable, cardiovascular disease risk factor. Tracking of blood pressure was examined in the University of Manitoba Follow-up Study, a cohort of 3,983 men followed over a 40-year period, between 1948 and 1988. Blood pressure measurements recorded over time in these men, prior to the development of ischemic heart disease, were used in this analysis. Two approaches to tracking were used; correlation analysis and the quantification of the likelihood for a man whose blood pressure was in either the top or bottom quintile to remain in the extreme end of the distribution at later measurement. For ages 25-75 years and for intervals between blood pressure measurement ranging from 5 to 35 years, significant evidence for tracking was found. The strongest evidence for tracking was in middle age, 45-55 years. Strength of tracking decreased with increasing time between measurements. This analysis suggests that men at highest risk for hypertension can be identified at a young age. Hence, strategies for prevention of cardiovascular complications can be targeted in early adulthood.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D006973 Hypertension Persistently high systemic arterial BLOOD PRESSURE. Based on multiple readings (BLOOD PRESSURE DETERMINATION), hypertension is currently defined as when SYSTOLIC PRESSURE is consistently greater than 140 mm Hg or when DIASTOLIC PRESSURE is consistently 90 mm Hg or more. Blood Pressure, High,Blood Pressures, High,High Blood Pressure,High Blood Pressures
D008297 Male Males
D008350 Manitoba A province of Canada, lying between the provinces of Saskatchewan and Ontario. Its capital is Winnipeg. Taking its name from Lake Manitoba, itself named for one of its islands, the name derived from Algonquian Manitou, great spirit. (From Webster's New Geographical Dictionary, 1988, p724 & Room, Brewer's Dictionary of Names, 1992, p332)
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D001795 Blood Pressure Determination Techniques used for measuring BLOOD PRESSURE. Blood Pressure Determinations,Determination, Blood Pressure
D002318 Cardiovascular Diseases Pathological conditions involving the CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEM including the HEART; the BLOOD VESSELS; or the PERICARDIUM. Adverse Cardiac Event,Cardiac Events,Major Adverse Cardiac Events,Adverse Cardiac Events,Cardiac Event,Cardiac Event, Adverse,Cardiac Events, Adverse,Cardiovascular Disease,Disease, Cardiovascular,Event, Cardiac
D005500 Follow-Up Studies Studies in which individuals or populations are followed to assess the outcome of exposures, procedures, or effects of a characteristic, e.g., occurrence of disease. Followup Studies,Follow Up Studies,Follow-Up Study,Followup Study,Studies, Follow-Up,Studies, Followup,Study, Follow-Up,Study, Followup
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly

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