Biomaterial Database

Evaluation of experiments with adaptive interim analyses. 1994

P Bauer, and K Köhne

Institut für Medizinische Statistik, Wien, Austria.

A general method for statistical testing in experiments with an adaptive interim analysis is proposed. The method is based on the observed error probabilities from the disjoint subsamples before and after the interim analysis. Formally, an intersection of individual null hypotheses is tested by combining the two p-values into a global test statistic. Stopping rules for Fisher's product criterion in terms of critical limits for the p-value in the first subsample are introduced, including early stopping in the case of missing effects. The control of qualitative treatment-stage interactions is considered. A generalization to three stages is outlined. The loss of power when using the product criterion instead of the optimal classical test on the whole sample is calculated for the test of the mean of a normal distribution, depending on increasing proportions of the first subsample in relation to the total sample size. An upper bound on the loss of power due to early stopping is derived. A general example is presented and rules for assessing the sample size in the second stage of the trial are given. The problems of interpretation and precautions to be taken for applications are discussed. Finally, the sources of bias for estimation in such designs are described.

UI	MeSH Term	Description	Entries
D008433	Mathematics	The deductive study of shape, quantity, and dependence. (From McGraw-Hill Dictionary of Scientific and Technical Terms, 6th ed)	Mathematic
D011336	Probability	The study of chance processes or the relative frequency characterizing a chance process.	Probabilities
D002986	Clinical Trials as Topic	Works about pre-planned studies of the safety, efficacy, or optimum dosage schedule (if appropriate) of one or more diagnostic, therapeutic, or prophylactic drugs, devices, or techniques selected according to predetermined criteria of eligibility and observed for predefined evidence of favorable and unfavorable effects. This concept includes clinical trials conducted both in the U.S. and in other countries.	Clinical Trial as Topic
D005188	False Negative Reactions	Negative test results in subjects who possess the attribute for which the test is conducted. The labeling of diseased persons as healthy when screening in the detection of disease. (Last, A Dictionary of Epidemiology, 2d ed)	False Negative Reaction,Reaction, False Negative,Reactions, False Negative
D006801	Humans	Members of the species Homo sapiens.	Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D001699	Biometry	The use of statistical and mathematical methods to analyze biological observations and phenomena.	Biometric Analysis,Biometrics,Analyses, Biometric,Analysis, Biometric,Biometric Analyses
D015233	Models, Statistical	Statistical formulations or analyses which, when applied to data and found to fit the data, are then used to verify the assumptions and parameters used in the analysis. Examples of statistical models are the linear model, binomial model, polynomial model, two-parameter model, etc.	Probabilistic Models,Statistical Models,Two-Parameter Models,Model, Statistical,Models, Binomial,Models, Polynomial,Statistical Model,Binomial Model,Binomial Models,Model, Binomial,Model, Polynomial,Model, Probabilistic,Model, Two-Parameter,Models, Probabilistic,Models, Two-Parameter,Polynomial Model,Polynomial Models,Probabilistic Model,Two Parameter Models,Two-Parameter Model