Prediction of gentamicin concentrations in neonates and infants using a Bayesian pharmacokinetic model. 1993

K A Rodvold, and C A Gentry, and G S Plank, and D M Kraus, and E Nickel, and J R Gross
Department of Pharmacy Practice, College of Pharmacy, University of Illinois at Chicago 60612.

This study retrospectively characterized population-based pharmacokinetic parameters for gentamicin in neonates and young infants, and evaluated the predictive performance of these parameters in a Bayesian forecasting program. Population parameter estimates were determined from the serum concentration-time data of 19 neonates and infants using a one-compartment open infusion model and nonlinear least-squares regression analysis. Univariate and multiple stepwise linear regression analyses were used to determine significant relationships between demographic characteristics and gentamicin pharmacokinetic parameters. Creatinine clearance and postnatal age were the most significant predictors of weight-standardized gentamicin clearance (model r2 = 0.86). The relationships between patient characteristics and population-based parameters were incorporated into the one-compartment Bayesian forecasting model. A second group of 17 neonates and infants receiving 35 courses of gentamicin therapy were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the population-based parameters and a Bayesian forecasting model. The population parameters provided accurate prediction of steady state gentamicin concentrations throughout multiple courses of therapy within the same patient. Bayesian forecasting further minimized the mean prediction error (bias) once a set of steady state peak and trough serum gentamicin concentrations became available (peak concentrations: -0.062 vs. -0.273 mg/l; trough concentrations: -0.006 vs. -0.161 mg/l). The mean absolute error (accuracy) was similar for the two sets of parameters. The observed accuracy of both the population parameters and Bayesian forecasting suggests that monitoring of serum gentamicin concentrations can be kept to minimum in neonates and infants.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007223 Infant A child between 1 and 23 months of age. Infants
D007231 Infant, Newborn An infant during the first 28 days after birth. Neonate,Newborns,Infants, Newborn,Neonates,Newborn,Newborn Infant,Newborn Infants
D008297 Male Males
D008954 Models, Biological Theoretical representations that simulate the behavior or activity of biological processes or diseases. For disease models in living animals, DISEASE MODELS, ANIMAL is available. Biological models include the use of mathematical equations, computers, and other electronic equipment. Biological Model,Biological Models,Model, Biological,Models, Biologic,Biologic Model,Biologic Models,Model, Biologic
D012044 Regression Analysis Procedures for finding the mathematical function which best describes the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. In linear regression (see LINEAR MODELS) the relationship is constrained to be a straight line and LEAST-SQUARES ANALYSIS is used to determine the best fit. In logistic regression (see LOGISTIC MODELS) the dependent variable is qualitative rather than continuously variable and LIKELIHOOD FUNCTIONS are used to find the best relationship. In multiple regression, the dependent variable is considered to depend on more than a single independent variable. Regression Diagnostics,Statistical Regression,Analysis, Regression,Analyses, Regression,Diagnostics, Regression,Regression Analyses,Regression, Statistical,Regressions, Statistical,Statistical Regressions
D003404 Creatinine Creatinine Sulfate Salt,Krebiozen,Salt, Creatinine Sulfate,Sulfate Salt, Creatinine
D005260 Female Females
D005839 Gentamicins A complex of closely related aminoglycosides obtained from MICROMONOSPORA purpurea and related species. They are broad-spectrum antibiotics, but may cause ear and kidney damage. They act to inhibit PROTEIN BIOSYNTHESIS. Gentamicin Sulfate (USP),Gentamycin,G-Myticin,Garamycin,Gentacycol,Gentamicin,Gentamicin Sulfate,Gentamycins,Gentavet,Genticin,G Myticin,GMyticin,Sulfate, Gentamicin
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000375 Aging The gradual irreversible changes in structure and function of an organism that occur as a result of the passage of time. Senescence,Aging, Biological,Biological Aging

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