Improved prediction of carcinogenic potencies from mutagenic potencies for chemicals positive in rodents and the Ames test. 1995

K T Bogen
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA 94550-9900.

Most studies of correlation between logs of mutagenic potency (MP) and cancer potency (CP) have obtained relatively small but statistically significant estimates of correlation (r) and corresponding log-log slope (b, in Log[CP] = a + b Log[MP]). But for mutagenic carcinogens, multistage cancer theory predicts that b and r should be highest when MP values best estimate mutation yields per unit dose at concentrations at least as high as those observed to cause cancer in bioassay animals. To test this hypothesis, the correlation of Ames test and rodent cancer potencies was examined for a total number n of 134 chemicals reported as positive in both assays. Values of maximum significant cancer potency (CP, in [mmol/kg-day]-1) were obtained from a published carcinogenic potency database. Values of maximum mutagenic potency (MP, as revertants per mmol/L-plate) were estimated from 2,347 sets of Ames test data reported by the NTP mutagenicity testing program, supplemented by similar data newly obtained for ten heterocyclic amines. For compounds with one or more significantly positive MP estimates based on approximately linear Ames test dose-response data, linear regression of maximum values of Log(CP) on Log(MP) yielded b = 0.27 +/- 0.065 and r = 0.39 (P = 0.0001, n = 105), similar to previously reported results for relatively large n. As predicted, when MP values were additionally restricted to include only values estimated from Ames test data approximately linear at corresponding lowest-TD50 concentrations, similar regressions yielded significantly improved fits (e.g,. b and r approximately 0.6, P < 10(-7), n = 68). Implications of these findings are discussed concerning the quantitative role that mutations like those measured in the Ames test may have in explaining observed cancer-bioassay results.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008862 Microsomes, Liver Closed vesicles of fragmented endoplasmic reticulum created when liver cells or tissue are disrupted by homogenization. They may be smooth or rough. Liver Microsomes,Liver Microsome,Microsome, Liver
D009152 Mutagenicity Tests Tests of chemical substances and physical agents for mutagenic potential. They include microbial, insect, mammalian cell, and whole animal tests. Genetic Toxicity Tests,Genotoxicity Tests,Mutagen Screening,Tests, Genetic Toxicity,Toxicity Tests, Genetic,Genetic Toxicity Test,Genotoxicity Test,Mutagen Screenings,Mutagenicity Test,Screening, Mutagen,Screenings, Mutagen,Test, Genotoxicity,Tests, Genotoxicity,Toxicity Test, Genetic
D009153 Mutagens Chemical agents that increase the rate of genetic mutation by interfering with the function of nucleic acids. A clastogen is a specific mutagen that causes breaks in chromosomes. Clastogen,Clastogens,Genotoxin,Genotoxins,Mutagen
D012044 Regression Analysis Procedures for finding the mathematical function which best describes the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. In linear regression (see LINEAR MODELS) the relationship is constrained to be a straight line and LEAST-SQUARES ANALYSIS is used to determine the best fit. In logistic regression (see LOGISTIC MODELS) the dependent variable is qualitative rather than continuously variable and LIKELIHOOD FUNCTIONS are used to find the best relationship. In multiple regression, the dependent variable is considered to depend on more than a single independent variable. Regression Diagnostics,Statistical Regression,Analysis, Regression,Analyses, Regression,Diagnostics, Regression,Regression Analyses,Regression, Statistical,Regressions, Statistical,Statistical Regressions
D002273 Carcinogens Substances that increase the risk of NEOPLASMS in humans or animals. Both genotoxic chemicals, which affect DNA directly, and nongenotoxic chemicals, which induce neoplasms by other mechanism, are included. Carcinogen,Oncogen,Oncogens,Tumor Initiator,Tumor Initiators,Tumor Promoter,Tumor Promoters,Initiator, Tumor,Initiators, Tumor,Promoter, Tumor,Promoters, Tumor
D004305 Dose-Response Relationship, Drug The relationship between the dose of an administered drug and the response of the organism to the drug. Dose Response Relationship, Drug,Dose-Response Relationships, Drug,Drug Dose-Response Relationship,Drug Dose-Response Relationships,Relationship, Drug Dose-Response,Relationships, Drug Dose-Response
D000818 Animals Unicellular or multicellular, heterotrophic organisms, that have sensation and the power of voluntary movement. Under the older five kingdom paradigm, Animalia was one of the kingdoms. Under the modern three domain model, Animalia represents one of the many groups in the domain EUKARYOTA. Animal,Metazoa,Animalia
D012475 Salmonella A genus of gram-negative, facultatively anaerobic, rod-shaped bacteria that utilizes citrate as a sole carbon source. It is pathogenic for humans, causing enteric fevers, gastroenteritis, and bacteremia. Food poisoning is the most common clinical manifestation. Organisms within this genus are separated on the basis of antigenic characteristics, sugar fermentation patterns, and bacteriophage susceptibility.
D016208 Databases, Factual Extensive collections, reputedly complete, of facts and data garnered from material of a specialized subject area and made available for analysis and application. The collection can be automated by various contemporary methods for retrieval. The concept should be differentiated from DATABASES, BIBLIOGRAPHIC which is restricted to collections of bibliographic references. Databanks, Factual,Data Banks, Factual,Data Bases, Factual,Data Bank, Factual,Data Base, Factual,Databank, Factual,Database, Factual,Factual Data Bank,Factual Data Banks,Factual Data Base,Factual Data Bases,Factual Databank,Factual Databanks,Factual Database,Factual Databases
D051381 Rats The common name for the genus Rattus. Rattus,Rats, Laboratory,Rats, Norway,Rattus norvegicus,Laboratory Rat,Laboratory Rats,Norway Rat,Norway Rats,Rat,Rat, Laboratory,Rat, Norway,norvegicus, Rattus
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