A non-excluded set method for the calculation of paternity probability. 1994

J J Tai, and M H Chen
Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, National Cheng-Chi University, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C.

Forensic judgment of paternity depends on genetic and nongenetic evidence. Sometimes genetic marker tests can provide clear evidence to exclude a falsely accused man, but they do not always succeed. On the other hand, if the accusation is true, the alleged father will not ever be excluded by genetic marker tests. When a nonexclusion case occurs after one or more marker tests, a report of paternity probability is required in the court. The current methods for calculating the paternity probability are the "paternity index method" and the "nonexclusion method." A number of recent articles have openly debated the fallacies, validity and utility of both methods. This paper briefly reviews the two methods and proposes a non-excluded set method along with examples for illustrating the various patterns of paternity probabilities of the three methods.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008433 Mathematics The deductive study of shape, quantity, and dependence. (From McGraw-Hill Dictionary of Scientific and Technical Terms, 6th ed) Mathematic
D010334 Paternity Establishing the father relationship of a man and a child. Paternities
D011336 Probability The study of chance processes or the relative frequency characterizing a chance process. Probabilities
D005554 Forensic Medicine The application of medical knowledge to questions of law. Legal Medicine,Medicine, Forensic,Medicine, Legal
D005819 Genetic Markers A phenotypically recognizable genetic trait which can be used to identify a genetic locus, a linkage group, or a recombination event. Chromosome Markers,DNA Markers,Markers, DNA,Markers, Genetic,Genetic Marker,Marker, Genetic,Chromosome Marker,DNA Marker,Marker, Chromosome,Marker, DNA,Markers, Chromosome
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man

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