Prospective evaluation of new duplex criteria to identify 70% internal carotid artery stenosis. 1996

D B Hood, and M A Mattos, and A Mansour, and D E Ramsey, and K J Hodgson, and L D Barkmeier, and D S Sumner
Department of Surgery, Section of Peripheral Vascular Surgery, Southern Illinois University School of Medicine, Springfield 62794-9230, USA.

OBJECTIVE Large multicenter trials (North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial, European Carotid Surgery Trial) have documented the benefits of carotid endarterectomy for treating symptomatic patients with >or=70% stenosis of the internal carotid artery. Although color-flow duplex scanning has become the preferred method for noninvasive assessment of internal carotid artery disease, no criteria have been generally accepted to identify this subset of patients. We previously reported a retrospective series to establish such criteria. This study details our results when these criteria were applied prospectively. METHODS Carotid color-flow duplex scans were compared with arteriograms in 457 patients who underwent both studies. Criteria for >or=70% internal carotid artery stenosis were peak systolic velocity >130 cm/sec and end-diastolic velocity >100 cm/sec. Internal carotid arteries with peak systolic velocity <40 cm/sec in which only a trickle of flow could be detected were classified as preocclusive lesions (95% to 99% stenosis). Arteriographic stenosis was determined by comparing the diameter of the internal carotid artery at the site of maximal stenosis to the diameter of the normal distal internal carotid artery. RESULTS Internal carotid artery stenosis of >or=70% was detected with a sensitivity of 87%, specificity of 97% positive predictive value of 89%, negative predictive value of 96%, and overall accuracy of 95%. Eighty-seven percent of 70% to 99% stenoses were correctly identified. False-positive errors (n=10) were attributed to contralateral internal carotid artery occlusion or high-grade (>90%) stenosis (n=5) and to interpreter error (n=1); no explanation was apparent in the other four. Eleven of 12 false-negative examinations occurred in patients with 70% to 80% internal carotid artery stenosis. CONCLUSIONS In our laboratories, prospective application of the above velocity criteria identified internal carotid artery stenosis of >or=70% with a reasonably high degree of accuracy. Errors occurred when stenoses were borderline and in patients with severe contralateral disease. With suitably modified velocity criteria, color-flow duplex scanning remains the most reliable noninvasive method for identifying symptomatic patients who are candidates for carotid endarterectomy.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D011446 Prospective Studies Observation of a population for a sufficient number of persons over a sufficient number of years to generate incidence or mortality rates subsequent to the selection of the study group. Prospective Study,Studies, Prospective,Study, Prospective
D001783 Blood Flow Velocity A value equal to the total volume flow divided by the cross-sectional area of the vascular bed. Blood Flow Velocities,Flow Velocities, Blood,Flow Velocity, Blood,Velocities, Blood Flow,Velocity, Blood Flow
D002343 Carotid Artery, Internal Branch of the common carotid artery which supplies the anterior part of the brain, the eye and its appendages, the forehead and nose. Arteries, Internal Carotid,Artery, Internal Carotid,Carotid Arteries, Internal,Internal Carotid Arteries,Internal Carotid Artery
D002546 Ischemic Attack, Transient Brief reversible episodes of focal, nonconvulsive ischemic dysfunction of the brain having a duration of less than 24 hours, and usually less than one hour, caused by transient thrombotic or embolic blood vessel occlusion or stenosis. Events may be classified by arterial distribution, temporal pattern, or etiology (e.g., embolic vs. thrombotic). (From Adams et al., Principles of Neurology, 6th ed, pp814-6) Brain Stem Ischemia, Transient,Cerebral Ischemia, Transient,Crescendo Transient Ischemic Attacks,Transient Ischemic Attack,Anterior Circulation Transient Ischemic Attack,Brain Stem Transient Ischemic Attack,Brain TIA,Brainstem Ischemia, Transient,Brainstem Transient Ischemic Attack,Carotid Circulation Transient Ischemic Attack,Posterior Circulation Transient Ischemic Attack,TIA (Transient Ischemic Attack),Transient Ischemic Attack, Anterior Circulation,Transient Ischemic Attack, Brain Stem,Transient Ischemic Attack, Brainstem,Transient Ischemic Attack, Carotid Circulation,Transient Ischemic Attack, Posterior Circulation,Transient Ischemic Attack, Vertebrobasilar Circulation,Transient Ischemic Attacks, Crescendo,Vertebrobasilar Circulation Transient Ischemic Attack,Attack, Transient Ischemic,Attacks, Transient Ischemic,Brainstem Ischemias, Transient,Cerebral Ischemias, Transient,Ischemia, Transient Brainstem,Ischemia, Transient Cerebral,Ischemias, Transient Brainstem,Ischemias, Transient Cerebral,Ischemic Attacks, Transient,TIA, Brain,TIAs (Transient Ischemic Attack),Transient Brainstem Ischemia,Transient Cerebral Ischemia,Transient Cerebral Ischemias,Transient Ischemic Attacks
D002561 Cerebrovascular Disorders A spectrum of pathological conditions of impaired blood flow in the brain. They can involve vessels (ARTERIES or VEINS) in the CEREBRUM, the CEREBELLUM, and the BRAIN STEM. Major categories include INTRACRANIAL ARTERIOVENOUS MALFORMATIONS; BRAIN ISCHEMIA; CEREBRAL HEMORRHAGE; and others. Brain Vascular Disorders,Intracranial Vascular Disorders,Vascular Diseases, Intracranial,Cerebrovascular Diseases,Cerebrovascular Insufficiency,Cerebrovascular Occlusion,Brain Vascular Disorder,Cerebrovascular Disease,Cerebrovascular Disorder,Cerebrovascular Insufficiencies,Cerebrovascular Occlusions,Disease, Cerebrovascular,Diseases, Cerebrovascular,Insufficiencies, Cerebrovascular,Insufficiency, Cerebrovascular,Intracranial Vascular Disease,Intracranial Vascular Diseases,Intracranial Vascular Disorder,Occlusion, Cerebrovascular,Occlusions, Cerebrovascular,Vascular Disease, Intracranial,Vascular Disorder, Brain,Vascular Disorder, Intracranial,Vascular Disorders, Brain,Vascular Disorders, Intracranial
D005069 Evaluation Studies as Topic Works about studies that determine the effectiveness or value of processes, personnel, and equipment, or the material on conducting such studies. Critique,Evaluation Indexes,Evaluation Methodology,Evaluation Report,Evaluation Research,Methodology, Evaluation,Pre-Post Tests,Qualitative Evaluation,Quantitative Evaluation,Theoretical Effectiveness,Use-Effectiveness,Critiques,Effectiveness, Theoretical,Evaluation Methodologies,Evaluation Reports,Evaluation, Qualitative,Evaluation, Quantitative,Evaluations, Qualitative,Evaluations, Quantitative,Indexes, Evaluation,Methodologies, Evaluation,Pre Post Tests,Pre-Post Test,Qualitative Evaluations,Quantitative Evaluations,Report, Evaluation,Reports, Evaluation,Research, Evaluation,Test, Pre-Post,Tests, Pre-Post,Use Effectiveness
D005544 Forecasting The prediction or projection of the nature of future problems or existing conditions based upon the extrapolation or interpretation of existing scientific data or by the application of scientific methodology. Futurology,Projections and Predictions,Future,Predictions and Projections
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000792 Angiography Radiography of blood vessels after injection of a contrast medium. Arteriography,Angiogram,Angiograms,Angiographies,Arteriographies

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