[A simple procedure to forecast the course of diseases (author's transl)]. 1977

R Trappl

A procedure is presented which enables the physician to forecast the course a disease will take by looking through a list of items with attached numbers, i.e. weights, and simply adding the weights of those items which hold true for a specific patient. The application of this procedure to three different diseases, namely schizophrenia, facial paresis, and aphasia is presented and proves its accuracy. Furthermore, a Monte Carlo Analysis of the procedure underlying this method--multiple linear regression of dichotomous items--leads to recommendations concerning the optimum definitions of items and the structuring of data. The procedure is compared with other methods used in computer diagnosis and its main advantage, apart from its high reliability, i.e. independence of computers in its application, is stressed. Its application to other diseases is encouraged and the presentation of data for processing by this Department is invited.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D011446 Prospective Studies Observation of a population for a sufficient number of persons over a sufficient number of years to generate incidence or mortality rates subsequent to the selection of the study group. Prospective Study,Studies, Prospective,Study, Prospective
D012044 Regression Analysis Procedures for finding the mathematical function which best describes the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. In linear regression (see LINEAR MODELS) the relationship is constrained to be a straight line and LEAST-SQUARES ANALYSIS is used to determine the best fit. In logistic regression (see LOGISTIC MODELS) the dependent variable is qualitative rather than continuously variable and LIKELIHOOD FUNCTIONS are used to find the best relationship. In multiple regression, the dependent variable is considered to depend on more than a single independent variable. Regression Diagnostics,Statistical Regression,Analysis, Regression,Analyses, Regression,Diagnostics, Regression,Regression Analyses,Regression, Statistical,Regressions, Statistical,Statistical Regressions
D005158 Facial Paralysis Severe or complete loss of facial muscle motor function. This condition may result from central or peripheral lesions. Damage to CNS motor pathways from the cerebral cortex to the facial nuclei in the pons leads to facial weakness that generally spares the forehead muscles. FACIAL NERVE DISEASES generally results in generalized hemifacial weakness. NEUROMUSCULAR JUNCTION DISEASES and MUSCULAR DISEASES may also cause facial paralysis or paresis. Facial Palsy,Hemifacial Paralysis,Facial Palsy, Lower Motor Neuron,Facial Palsy, Upper Motor Neuron,Facial Paralysis, Central,Facial Paralysis, Peripheral,Facial Paresis,Lower Motor Neuron Facial Palsy,Upper Motor Neuron Facial Palsy,Central Facial Paralyses,Central Facial Paralysis,Facial Palsies,Facial Paralyses, Central,Facial Paralyses, Peripheral,Palsies, Facial,Palsy, Facial,Paralyses, Central Facial,Paralyses, Facial,Paralyses, Hemifacial,Paralysis, Central Facial,Paralysis, Facial,Paralysis, Hemifacial,Paralysis, Peripheral Facial,Pareses, Facial,Paresis, Facial,Peripheral Facial Paralysis
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D001037 Aphasia A cognitive disorder marked by an impaired ability to comprehend or express language in its written or spoken form. This condition is caused by diseases which affect the language areas of the dominant hemisphere. Clinical features are used to classify the various subtypes of this condition. General categories include receptive, expressive, and mixed forms of aphasia. Aphasia, Acquired,Dysphasia,Word Deafness,Alogia,Anepia,Aphasia, Ageusic,Aphasia, Auditory Discriminatory,Aphasia, Commisural,Aphasia, Functional,Aphasia, Global,Aphasia, Graphomotor,Aphasia, Intellectual,Aphasia, Mixed,Aphasia, Post-Ictal,Aphasia, Post-Traumatic,Aphasia, Progressive,Aphasia, Semantic,Aphasia, Syntactical,Dejerine-Lichtheim Phenomenon,Dysphasia, Global,Lichtheim's Sign,Logagnosia,Logamnesia,Logasthenia,Acquired Aphasia,Ageusic Aphasia,Ageusic Aphasias,Alogias,Anepias,Aphasia, Post Ictal,Aphasia, Post Traumatic,Aphasias, Commisural,Auditory Discriminatory Aphasia,Auditory Discriminatory Aphasias,Commisural Aphasia,Commisural Aphasias,Deafness, Word,Dejerine Lichtheim Phenomenon,Discriminatory Aphasia, Auditory,Discriminatory Aphasias, Auditory,Functional Aphasia,Functional Aphasias,Global Aphasia,Global Aphasias,Global Dysphasia,Global Dysphasias,Graphomotor Aphasia,Graphomotor Aphasias,Intellectual Aphasia,Intellectual Aphasias,Lichtheim Sign,Lichtheims Sign,Logagnosias,Logamnesias,Logasthenias,Mixed Aphasia,Mixed Aphasias,Phenomenon, Dejerine-Lichtheim,Post-Ictal Aphasia,Post-Ictal Aphasias,Post-Traumatic Aphasia,Post-Traumatic Aphasias,Progressive Aphasia,Progressive Aphasias,Semantic Aphasia,Semantic Aphasias,Sign, Lichtheim's,Syntactical Aphasia,Syntactical Aphasias
D012559 Schizophrenia A severe emotional disorder of psychotic depth characteristically marked by a retreat from reality with delusion formation, HALLUCINATIONS, emotional disharmony, and regressive behavior. Dementia Praecox,Schizophrenic Disorders,Disorder, Schizophrenic,Disorders, Schizophrenic,Schizophrenias,Schizophrenic Disorder
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