Is carotid endarterectomy cost-effective? An analysis of symptomatic and asymptomatic patients. 1996

K M Kuntz, and K C Kent
Section for Clinical Epidemiology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115, USA. keaney@hsph.harvard.edu

BACKGROUND The North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial (NASCET) and the Asymptomatic Carotid Atherosclerosis Study (ACAS) showed significant risk reductions for carotid endarterectomy (CE) but did not consider the cost-effectiveness of CE. RESULTS We developed Markov models based on NASCET and ACAS to simulate hypothetical cohorts of patients with carotid stenosis and calculated quality-adjusted life expectancies and direct medical costs for those receiving either CE or medical therapy. For symptomatic patients, we used a surgical stroke risk of 5.8%, a 2-year stroke risk of 27.6% for medical patients, and a post-30-day surgical risk reduction of 87% for ipsilateral strokes. For symptom-free patients, we used a surgical stroke risk of 1.7%, a 5-year stroke risk of 17.5% for medical patients, and a post-30-day surgical risk reduction of 74% for ipsilateral strokes. Cost and quality-of-life estimates were estimated from the literature. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of CE versus medical therapy was $4100 and $52700 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained for symptomatic and symptom-free patients, respectively. Incremental cost effectiveness ratios were < $50000/QALY gained for symptomatic patients for wide variations in baseline assumptions. For asymptomatic patients, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $100900/QALY gained if the perioperative risk was 4%, $36400/QALY gained if the risk of untreated patients was doubled, and $13500/QALY gained if the cost of CE was halved. CONCLUSIONS Performance of CE is associated with favorable incremental cost-effectiveness ratios compared with other accepted medical interventions; however, the analysis for symptom-free patients was sensitive to a number of parameters.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D002561 Cerebrovascular Disorders A spectrum of pathological conditions of impaired blood flow in the brain. They can involve vessels (ARTERIES or VEINS) in the CEREBRUM, the CEREBELLUM, and the BRAIN STEM. Major categories include INTRACRANIAL ARTERIOVENOUS MALFORMATIONS; BRAIN ISCHEMIA; CEREBRAL HEMORRHAGE; and others. Brain Vascular Disorders,Intracranial Vascular Disorders,Vascular Diseases, Intracranial,Cerebrovascular Diseases,Cerebrovascular Insufficiency,Cerebrovascular Occlusion,Brain Vascular Disorder,Cerebrovascular Disease,Cerebrovascular Disorder,Cerebrovascular Insufficiencies,Cerebrovascular Occlusions,Disease, Cerebrovascular,Diseases, Cerebrovascular,Insufficiencies, Cerebrovascular,Insufficiency, Cerebrovascular,Intracranial Vascular Disease,Intracranial Vascular Diseases,Intracranial Vascular Disorder,Occlusion, Cerebrovascular,Occlusions, Cerebrovascular,Vascular Disease, Intracranial,Vascular Disorder, Brain,Vascular Disorder, Intracranial,Vascular Disorders, Brain,Vascular Disorders, Intracranial
D003362 Cost-Benefit Analysis A method of comparing the cost of a program with its expected benefits in dollars (or other currency). The benefit-to-cost ratio is a measure of total return expected per unit of money spent. This analysis generally excludes consideration of factors that are not measured ultimately in economic terms. In contrast a cost effectiveness in general compares cost with qualitative outcomes. Cost and Benefit,Cost-Benefit Data,Benefits and Costs,Cost Benefit,Cost Benefit Analysis,Cost-Utility Analysis,Costs and Benefits,Economic Evaluation,Marginal Analysis,Analyses, Cost Benefit,Analysis, Cost Benefit,Analysis, Cost-Benefit,Analysis, Cost-Utility,Analysis, Marginal,Benefit and Cost,Cost Benefit Analyses,Cost Benefit Data,Cost Utility Analysis,Cost-Benefit Analyses,Cost-Utility Analyses,Data, Cost-Benefit,Economic Evaluations,Evaluation, Economic,Marginal Analyses
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly
D012680 Sensitivity and Specificity Binary classification measures to assess test results. Sensitivity or recall rate is the proportion of true positives. Specificity is the probability of correctly determining the absence of a condition. (From Last, Dictionary of Epidemiology, 2d ed) Specificity,Sensitivity,Specificity and Sensitivity
D016894 Endarterectomy, Carotid The excision of the thickened, atheromatous tunica intima of a carotid artery. Carotid Endarterectomy,Carotid Endarterectomies,Endarterectomies, Carotid

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