Trends in colorectal cancer incidence and mortality in New South Wales, 1973-1992. 1997

J C Bell, and M McCredie, and M S Coates, and B K Armstrong
NSW Cancer Council, Sydney, NSW. jbell@doh.health.nsw.gov.au

OBJECTIVE To assess changes in incidence and mortality rates of colorectal cancer in different age groups in New South Wales (NSW) between 1973 and 1992. METHODS Descriptive analysis of data on incidence and mortality from the population-based NSW Central Cancer Registry and on colorectal cancer diagnostic tests from the Health Insurance Commission. METHODS Age-standardised incidence and mortality rates for colon and rectal cancer (defined by codes 153 and 154 in the International classification of diseases, 9th revision) by sex and age group (15-44, 45-59, 60-74 or > or = 75 years) and incidence by cancer spread at diagnosis; age-standardised rates for faecal occult blood tests, sigmoidoscopy and colonoscopy. RESULTS From 1973 to 1992, colorectal cancer incidence increased significantly in NSW by an average of 2.0% per year in males (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.8 to 2.3) and 0.9% in females (95% CI, 0.7 to 1.1). Mortality rates remained nearly constant in males, but fell significantly in females by an average of -1.0% per year (95% CI, -1.3 to -0.7). In the youngest age group (15-44 years) both incidence and mortality rates fell significantly, while rates were stable or rose in older age groups, except for a significant fall in mortality in women aged > or = 75 years. Use of colonoscopy (an early detection method) increased, but a corresponding shift to detection of earlier-stage cancers was not seen. CONCLUSIONS A reduction in risk factors and better treatment leading to longer survival may have contributed to the falls in incidence in younger people and in mortality in females.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007223 Infant A child between 1 and 23 months of age. Infants
D007344 Insurance Claim Reporting The design, completion, and filing of forms with the insurer. Claim Reporting, Insurance,Reporting, Insurance Claim
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D009517 New South Wales A state in southeastern Australia. Its capital is Sydney. It was discovered by Captain Cook in 1770 and first settled at Botany Bay by marines and convicts in 1788. It was named by Captain Cook who thought its coastline resembled that of South Wales. (From Webster's New Geographical Dictionary, 1988, p840 & Room, Brewer's Dictionary of Names, 1992, p377)
D011159 Population Surveillance Ongoing scrutiny of a population (general population, study population, target population, etc.), generally using methods distinguished by their practicability, uniformity, and frequently their rapidity, rather than by complete accuracy. Surveillance, Population
D012042 Registries The systems and processes involved in the establishment, support, management, and operation of registers, e.g., disease registers. Parish Registers,Population Register,Parish Register,Population Registers,Register, Parish,Register, Population,Registers, Parish,Registers, Population,Registry
D002648 Child A person 6 to 12 years of age. An individual 2 to 5 years old is CHILD, PRESCHOOL. Children
D002675 Child, Preschool A child between the ages of 2 and 5. Children, Preschool,Preschool Child,Preschool Children
D005260 Female Females

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