Early prediction of risk in patients with suspected unstable angina using serum troponin T. 1997

G D Kerr, and D R Dunt
Cardiology Department, Box Hill Hospital, Vic.

BACKGROUND One-third of patients with rest angina are reported to have detectable cardiac troponin T in the serum and may be at increased risk of serious cardiac events. OBJECTIVE To investigate whether a single early estimation of serum troponin T was an independent predictor of serious cardiovascular complications in patients with suspected unstable angina. METHODS A prospective cohort study in which patients with suspected rest angina had a serum troponin T estimation 14 hours after symptom onset and were classified using discriminator levels of serum troponin T of 0.05 and 0.1 microgram/L as well as a number of other variables. All patients were followed for six months to document any cardiac complications and a stepwise logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine independent risk factors of complications. RESULTS One hundred and sixty-four patients were evaluated. Using a discriminator level of 0.05 microgram/L 54 patients (33%) had detectable troponin T. The admission ECG was the only independent predictor of cardiac events in hospital--odds ratio 4.0 (95% CI 1.7-9.6). Detectable troponin T did not appear to be an independent predictor of serious complications. During the six-month follow-up period, detectable troponin T using a discriminator of 0.05 microgram/L was an independent predictor of serious complications--odds ratio 3.7 (95% CI 1.8-7.6). CONCLUSIONS In patients with suspected rest angina, detectable serum troponin T > 0.05 microgram/L is an independent predictor of serious cardiac events during the six-month follow-up period although not during hospitalisation. Using a single, early serum troponin T estimation and other variables available at the time of admission, a high risk subgroup who may benefit from early investigation and revascularisation can be identified.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D009203 Myocardial Infarction NECROSIS of the MYOCARDIUM caused by an obstruction of the blood supply to the heart (CORONARY CIRCULATION). Cardiovascular Stroke,Heart Attack,Myocardial Infarct,Cardiovascular Strokes,Heart Attacks,Infarct, Myocardial,Infarction, Myocardial,Infarctions, Myocardial,Infarcts, Myocardial,Myocardial Infarctions,Myocardial Infarcts,Stroke, Cardiovascular,Strokes, Cardiovascular
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D011446 Prospective Studies Observation of a population for a sufficient number of persons over a sufficient number of years to generate incidence or mortality rates subsequent to the selection of the study group. Prospective Study,Studies, Prospective,Study, Prospective
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly
D000789 Angina, Unstable Precordial pain at rest, which may precede a MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION. Angina at Rest,Angina, Preinfarction,Myocardial Preinfarction Syndrome,Angina Pectoris, Unstable,Unstable Angina,Angina Pectori, Unstable,Anginas, Preinfarction,Anginas, Unstable,Myocardial Preinfarction Syndromes,Preinfarction Angina,Preinfarction Anginas,Preinfarction Syndrome, Myocardial,Preinfarction Syndromes, Myocardial,Syndrome, Myocardial Preinfarction,Syndromes, Myocardial Preinfarction,Unstable Angina Pectori,Unstable Angina Pectoris,Unstable Anginas

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