Using age to predict cervical infection in women presenting with lower genital tract syndrome in Cape Town. 1998

N Coetzee, and C Mathews
Department of Community Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Observatory, South Africa. nc@anat.uct.ac.za

In developing countries without access to laboratory testing, the syndromic management of cervicitis in women with lower genital tract symptoms results in overtreatment. We evaluated the validity of using different age cut-offs to predict the risk of cervical infection in women attending a clinic for sexually transmitted diseases in Cape Town. Specimens from 161 women with lower genital tract symptoms were examined microbiologically for evidence of cervicitis (gonorrhoea and/or chlamydial infection). Women with cervicitis (median 21 years) were significantly younger than those not infected (median 23 years). Retrospective simulation using the age cut-offs (< 45 years (current approach), < 30 years, and < 25 years) to predict cervicitis showed that specificity could be increased (overtreatment reduced) from 17% to 50% if presumptive diagnoses of cervicitis were restricted to women aged under 25 years. Lowering the age cut-off would severely limit sensitivity, however, and as many as 9% and 20%, respectively, of infected women would go untreated if the age cut-offs < 30 and < 25 years were used. The use of a lower age cut-off would therefore serve neither individual nor public health in the presumptive diagnosis and treatment of cervicitis in a high risk population, and would result in a substantially lower detection rate.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D002575 Uterine Cervicitis Inflammation of the UTERINE CERVIX. Cervicitis,Cervicitides,Cervicitides, Uterine,Cervicitis, Uterine,Uterine Cervicitides
D002690 Chlamydia Infections Infections with bacteria of the genus CHLAMYDIA. Infections, Chlamydia,Chlamydia Infection,Infection, Chlamydia
D003430 Cross-Sectional Studies Studies in which the presence or absence of disease or other health-related variables are determined in each member of the study population or in a representative sample at one particular time. This contrasts with LONGITUDINAL STUDIES which are followed over a period of time. Disease Frequency Surveys,Prevalence Studies,Analysis, Cross-Sectional,Cross Sectional Analysis,Cross-Sectional Survey,Surveys, Disease Frequency,Analyses, Cross Sectional,Analyses, Cross-Sectional,Analysis, Cross Sectional,Cross Sectional Analyses,Cross Sectional Studies,Cross Sectional Survey,Cross-Sectional Analyses,Cross-Sectional Analysis,Cross-Sectional Study,Cross-Sectional Surveys,Disease Frequency Survey,Prevalence Study,Studies, Cross-Sectional,Studies, Prevalence,Study, Cross-Sectional,Study, Prevalence,Survey, Cross-Sectional,Survey, Disease Frequency,Surveys, Cross-Sectional
D005260 Female Females
D006069 Gonorrhea Acute infectious disease characterized by primary invasion of the urogenital tract. The etiologic agent, NEISSERIA GONORRHOEAE, was isolated by Neisser in 1879. Neisseria gonorrhoeae Infection
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D000465 Algorithms A procedure consisting of a sequence of algebraic formulas and/or logical steps to calculate or determine a given task. Algorithm
D012189 Retrospective Studies Studies used to test etiologic hypotheses in which inferences about an exposure to putative causal factors are derived from data relating to characteristics of persons under study or to events or experiences in their past. The essential feature is that some of the persons under study have the disease or outcome of interest and their characteristics are compared with those of unaffected persons. Retrospective Study,Studies, Retrospective,Study, Retrospective

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