Biomaterial Database

Tuberculosis trends in Central Serbia in the period 1956-1996. 2000

Z Gledovic, and M Jovanovic, and T Pekmezovic

Institute of Epidemiology, School of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Yugoslavia.

OBJECTIVE To estimate tuberculosis incidence and mortality trends in Central Serbia (excluding Kosovo and Vojvodina provinces) in the period 1956-1996. METHODS The incidence and mortality data of tuberculosis in Central Serbia in the period 1956-1996 were analysed based on the annual reports of the Institute for Lung Diseases and Tuberculosis in Belgrade and the official data of the Republic Health Institute. RESULTS During the period under observation, tuberculosis incidence decreased from 324.0 to 34.8/100 000 population, fitting the exponential model (y = 389.066e-(0.0689); F = 847.60; P = 0.000). Mortality rates decreased from 76.0 in 1956 to 0.9/100000 in 1982. Over the whole period (1956-1996) the decrease in mortality rates fitted the exponential model (y = 66.83e-(0.0922); F = 150.95; P = 0.000). The increase in mortality rates in the period 1982-1996 fitted cubic model (y = 7.647 - 2.674x + 0.359x(2)-0.013x(3); F = 12.17; P = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Decreasing trends in tuberculosis incidence are the result of good control programmes. Changes in mortality trends are related to migration from war zones and poor economic conditions which hinder the detection and treatment of tuberculosis.

UI	MeSH Term	Description	Entries
D008297	Male		Males
D009026	Mortality	All deaths reported in a given population.	CFR Case Fatality Rate,Crude Death Rate,Crude Mortality Rate,Death Rate,Age Specific Death Rate,Age-Specific Death Rate,Case Fatality Rate,Decline, Mortality,Determinants, Mortality,Differential Mortality,Excess Mortality,Mortality Decline,Mortality Determinants,Mortality Rate,Mortality, Differential,Mortality, Excess,Age-Specific Death Rates,Case Fatality Rates,Crude Death Rates,Crude Mortality Rates,Death Rate, Age-Specific,Death Rate, Crude,Death Rates,Determinant, Mortality,Differential Mortalities,Excess Mortalities,Mortalities,Mortality Declines,Mortality Determinant,Mortality Rate, Crude,Mortality Rates,Rate, Age-Specific Death,Rate, Case Fatality,Rate, Crude Death,Rate, Crude Mortality,Rate, Death,Rate, Mortality,Rates, Case Fatality
D005260	Female		Females
D006801	Humans	Members of the species Homo sapiens.	Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D014397	Tuberculosis, Pulmonary	MYCOBACTERIUM infections of the lung.	Pulmonary Consumption,Pulmonary Phthisis,Pulmonary Tuberculoses,Pulmonary Tuberculosis,Tuberculoses, Pulmonary,Consumption, Pulmonary,Consumptions, Pulmonary,Phthises, Pulmonary,Phthisis, Pulmonary,Pulmonary Consumptions,Pulmonary Phthises
D015022	Yugoslavia	Created as the Kingdom of Serbs, Croats, and Slovenes in 1918. Yugoslavia became the official name in 1929. BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA; CROATIA; and SLOVENIA formed independent countries 7 April 1992. Macedonia became independent 8 February 1994 as the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (MACEDONIA REPUBLIC).	Vojvodina
D015994	Incidence	The number of new cases of a given disease during a given period in a specified population. It also is used for the rate at which new events occur in a defined population. It is differentiated from PREVALENCE, which refers to all cases in the population at a given time.	Attack Rate,Cumulative Incidence,Incidence Proportion,Incidence Rate,Person-time Rate,Secondary Attack Rate,Attack Rate, Secondary,Attack Rates,Cumulative Incidences,Incidence Proportions,Incidence Rates,Incidence, Cumulative,Incidences,Person time Rate,Person-time Rates,Proportion, Incidence,Rate, Attack,Rate, Incidence,Rate, Person-time,Rate, Secondary Attack,Secondary Attack Rates