Per capita alcohol consumption and all-cause mortality in 14 European countries. 2001

T Norström
Swedish Institute for Social Research, Stockholm University, S-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden. totto@sofi.su.se

OBJECTIVE (1) To estimate the relationship between per capita alcohol consumption and male all-cause mortality in 14 European countries. (2) To compare the estimates with predictions from the U-shaped curve at the aggregate level. METHODS The outcome measures comprised annual data, after 1950, on male mortality (all-cause mortality and mortality from diseases) for the following age groups: 15+, 15-29, 30-49, 50-69 and 70+ years. Female mortality was included as a control variable. Alcohol sales were used as proxy for per capita consumption. The data were analysed using the Box-Jenkins technique. The estimated alcohol effects were pooled within low-, medium- and high-consumption countries. RESULTS For all-cause mortality (15+), the effect estimates were significantly positive in eight of the 14 countries. The effect on mortality of a 1-litre increase in consumption tended to be stronger in low-consumption countries (3% per litre) than in medium- and high-consumption countries (1%). This pattern deviates from that predicted from the U-shaped curve. No significant impact of alcohol was found in the youngest age group when mortality from diseases was used as the outcome. CONCLUSIONS Increases in overall consumption seem to be associated with increases in total mortality. Differences in drinking patterns are discussed as a possible explanation for the variation between country groups in alcohol effect.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D002423 Cause of Death Factors which produce cessation of all vital bodily functions. They can be analyzed from an epidemiologic viewpoint. Causes of Death,Death Cause,Death Causes
D003431 Cross-Cultural Comparison Comparison of various psychological, sociological, or cultural factors in order to assess the similarities or diversities occurring in two or more different cultures or societies. Transcultural Studies,Comparison, Cross-Cultural,Comparisons, Cross-Cultural,Cross Cultural Comparison,Cross-Cultural Comparisons,Studies, Transcultural,Study, Transcultural,Transcultural Study
D005060 Europe The continent north of AFRICA, west of ASIA and east of the ATLANTIC OCEAN. Northern Europe,Southern Europe,Western Europe
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000293 Adolescent A person 13 to 18 years of age. Adolescence,Youth,Adolescents,Adolescents, Female,Adolescents, Male,Teenagers,Teens,Adolescent, Female,Adolescent, Male,Female Adolescent,Female Adolescents,Male Adolescent,Male Adolescents,Teen,Teenager,Youths
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly

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