Useful predictive factors of common bile duct stones prior to laparoscopic cholecystectomy for gallstones. 2005

Shunichi Shiozawa, and Akira Tsuchiya, and Dal Ho Kim, and Takebumi Usui, and Toshio Masuda, and Koichi Kubota, and Toshihiko Hosokawa, and Toshinori Oishi, and Yoshihiko Naritaka, and Kenji Ogawa
Department of Surgery, Tokyo Women's Medical University Medical Center East, Japan. tansiosu@dnh.twmu.ac.jp

OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to determine useful predictive factors of common bile duct stones (CBDs) as diagnosed by endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in patients who underwent laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) for gallstones. METHODS A total of 510 patients underwent ERCP prior to LC. Also reviewed in each were clinical data, laboratory data, and ultrasonographic findings. Data were evaluated by uni- and multivariate analysis to determine which of the useful predictive factors thus far reported might be in the concurrence of CBDs. RESULTS Univariate analysis identified jaundice, pancreatitis, ALT, total bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase, amylase, and CBD dilatation at ultrasonography as predictors. Multivariate analysis subsequently identified alkaline phosphatase (p<0.0001), total bilirubin (p=0.0008), amylase (p=0.0009), and CBD dilatation at ultrasonography (p=0.0012) as independent predictive factors of CBDs. The estimates for the detection of CBDs, when the indication of ERCP is determined on the basis of the four predictive factors, were found to be as follows: sensitivity 97.6%, positive predictive value 78.6%, and positive accuracy 95.3%. CONCLUSIONS It is advisable to ascertain by preoperative ERCP whether there might be any CBDs in patients about to undergo an LC for treatment of cholelithiasis insofar as the patient has one or more of these factors. It is concluded that an LC may be performed by omitting the prior ERCP, conversely, on patients devoid of all of these factors.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007902 Length of Stay The period of confinement of a patient to a hospital or other health facility. Hospital Stay,Hospital Stays,Stay Length,Stay Lengths,Stay, Hospital,Stays, Hospital
D008111 Liver Function Tests Blood tests that are used to evaluate how well a patient's liver is working and also to help diagnose liver conditions. Function Test, Liver,Function Tests, Liver,Liver Function Test,Test, Liver Function,Tests, Liver Function
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D010149 Pain, Postoperative Pain during the period after surgery. Acute Post-operative Pain,Acute Postoperative Pain,Chronic Post-operative Pain,Chronic Post-surgical Pain,Chronic Postoperative Pain,Chronic Postsurgical Pain,Pain, Post-operative,Persistent Postsurgical Pain,Post-operative Pain,Post-operative Pain, Acute,Post-operative Pain, Chronic,Post-surgical Pain,Postoperative Pain, Acute,Postoperative Pain, Chronic,Postsurgical Pain,Postoperative Pain,Acute Post operative Pain,Chronic Post operative Pain,Chronic Post surgical Pain,Chronic Postsurgical Pains,Pain, Acute Post-operative,Pain, Acute Postoperative,Pain, Chronic Post-operative,Pain, Chronic Post-surgical,Pain, Chronic Postoperative,Pain, Chronic Postsurgical,Pain, Persistent Postsurgical,Pain, Post operative,Pain, Post-surgical,Pain, Postsurgical,Post operative Pain,Post operative Pain, Acute,Post operative Pain, Chronic,Post surgical Pain,Post-operative Pains,Post-surgical Pain, Chronic,Postsurgical Pain, Chronic,Postsurgical Pain, Persistent
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D011300 Preoperative Care Care given during the period prior to undergoing surgery when psychological and physical preparations are made according to the special needs of the individual patient. This period spans the time between admission to the hospital to the time the surgery begins. (From Dictionary of Health Services Management, 2d ed) Care, Preoperative,Preoperative Procedure,Preoperative Procedures,Procedure, Preoperative,Procedures, Preoperative
D011336 Probability The study of chance processes or the relative frequency characterizing a chance process. Probabilities
D002760 Cholangiopancreatography, Endoscopic Retrograde Fiberoptic endoscopy designed for duodenal observation and cannulation of VATER'S AMPULLA, in order to visualize the pancreatic and biliary duct system by retrograde injection of contrast media. Endoscopic (Vater) papillotomy (SPHINCTEROTOMY, ENDOSCOPIC) may be performed during this procedure. ERCP,Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography,Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography, Endoscopic,Cholangiopancreatographies, Endoscopic Retrograde,Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatographies,Retrograde Cholangiopancreatographies, Endoscopic
D003135 Common Bile Duct The largest bile duct. It is formed by the junction of the CYSTIC DUCT and the COMMON HEPATIC DUCT. Choledochus,Bile Duct, Common,Common Bile Ducts,Duct, Common Bile

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