Predictors of common bile duct stones prior to cholecystectomy: a meta-analysis. 1996

P A Abboud, and P F Malet, and J A Berlin, and R Staroscik, and M D Cabana, and J R Clarke, and J A Shea, and J S Schwartz, and S V Williams
Division of General Internal Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, USA.

BACKGROUND The decision of whether or not to investigate for common bile duct stones before cholecystectomy utilizes clinical, laboratory, and radiologic information (indicators). There is tremendous individual variation among clinicians in the criteria used for making this decision. Our aim was to perform a meta-analysis of published data to estimate the performance characteristics of the most commonly used preoperative indicators of common bile duct stones. METHODS Using predetermined exclusion criteria, we selected articles from a MEDLINE search and bibliographic review. Weighted averages were used to determine summary sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative likelihood ratios for each indicator for stones. RESULTS From 2221 citations identified, 22 studies met inclusion criteria. The 10 indicators examined were reported in a common fashion in three or more articles, and could be assessed preoperatively. Seven exhibited a specificity greater than 90%. Indicators with positive likelihood ratios of 10 or above were cholangitis, preoperative jaundice, and ultrasound evidence of common bile duct stones. Positive likelihood ratios for dilated common bile duct on ultrasound, hyperbilirubinemia, and jaundice ranged from almost 4 to almost 7. Elevated levels of alkaline phosphatase, pancreatitis, cholecystitis, and hyperamylasemia exhibited positive likelihood ratios of less than 3. CONCLUSIONS This meta-analysis has identified indicators for duct stones and ranked them according to likelihood ratios. These findings can be applied as guidelines for whether to investigate for duct stones before cholecystectomy.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D002763 Cholecystectomy Surgical removal of the GALLBLADDER. Cholecystectomies
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D015995 Prevalence The total number of cases of a given disease in a specified population at a designated time. It is differentiated from INCIDENCE, which refers to the number of new cases in the population at a given time. Period Prevalence,Point Prevalence,Period Prevalences,Point Prevalences,Prevalence, Period,Prevalence, Point,Prevalences
D017408 Guidelines as Topic Works about a systematic statement of policy rules or principles. Guidelines may be developed by government agencies at any level, institutions, professional societies, governing boards, or by convening expert panels. For guidelines in the field of health care and clinical medicine, PRACTICE GUIDELINES AS TOPIC is available. Guidelines as Topics
D042882 Gallstones Solid crystalline precipitates in the BILIARY TRACT, usually formed in the GALLBLADDER, resulting in the condition of CHOLELITHIASIS. Gallstones, derived from the BILE, consist mainly of calcium, cholesterol, or bilirubin. Biliary Calculi,Common Bile Duct Gall Stone,Common Bile Duct Gallstone,Gallstone,Biliary Calculi, Common Bile Duct,Common Bile Duct Calculi,Common Bile Duct Gall Stones,Common Bile Duct Gallstones,Gall Stone,Gall Stones,Gall Stones, Common Bile Duct,Gallstones, Common Bile Duct,Calculi, Biliary

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