A survey identified publication bias in the secondary literature. 2006

Anne O Carter, and Glenn H Griffin, and Thomas P Carter
School of Clinical Medicine and Research, University of the West Indies, Cave Hill Campus, Barbados. annecarter@uwichill.edu.bb

OBJECTIVE To investigate the existence of publication bias in the translation of evidence from the primary to the secondary literature, using the ACP Journal Club (ACPJC) as a representative of secondary literature and Medline as a representative of primary literature. METHODS A cross-sectional survey of randomly selected randomized controlled trials of therapy published between 1994 and 2002 in English in Medline and all summaries of therapy trials published by ACPJC between the same dates. The main outcome measure was the rate of positive trials from among those trials aiming to find a difference between groups. RESULTS 831 trials from Medline and 823 summaries of trials from ACPJC met the inclusion criteria and were included in the study. Compared to trials cataloged in Medline, ACPJC preferentially summarized trials with a positive outcome (P < .001). This bias remained after controlling for other selection biases seen in the ACPJC such as preferentially summarizing multicentered trials with large sample size, no active treatment control, blinding, and in certain disease fields (adjusted odds ratio 2.8, 95% confidence interval 2.02-3.93). CONCLUSIONS The ACPJC preferentially summarizes trials with a positive outcome. Efforts should be made to reduce this bias.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D010506 Periodicals as Topic Works about publications issued at stated, more or less regular, intervals. Journals as Topic,Magazines,Newsletters,Magazine,Newsletter
D003430 Cross-Sectional Studies Studies in which the presence or absence of disease or other health-related variables are determined in each member of the study population or in a representative sample at one particular time. This contrasts with LONGITUDINAL STUDIES which are followed over a period of time. Disease Frequency Surveys,Prevalence Studies,Analysis, Cross-Sectional,Cross Sectional Analysis,Cross-Sectional Survey,Surveys, Disease Frequency,Analyses, Cross Sectional,Analyses, Cross-Sectional,Analysis, Cross Sectional,Cross Sectional Analyses,Cross Sectional Studies,Cross Sectional Survey,Cross-Sectional Analyses,Cross-Sectional Analysis,Cross-Sectional Study,Cross-Sectional Surveys,Disease Frequency Survey,Prevalence Study,Studies, Cross-Sectional,Studies, Prevalence,Study, Cross-Sectional,Study, Prevalence,Survey, Cross-Sectional,Survey, Disease Frequency,Surveys, Cross-Sectional
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D012955 Societies, Medical Societies whose membership is limited to physicians. Medical Societies,Medical Society,Society, Medical
D016032 Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic Works about clinical trials that involve at least one test treatment and one control treatment, concurrent enrollment and follow-up of the test- and control-treated groups, and in which the treatments to be administered are selected by a random process, such as the use of a random-numbers table. Clinical Trials, Randomized,Controlled Clinical Trials, Randomized,Trials, Randomized Clinical
D016239 MEDLINE The premier bibliographic database of the NATIONAL LIBRARY OF MEDICINE. MEDLINE® (MEDLARS Online) is the primary subset of PUBMED and can be searched on NLM's Web site in PubMed or the NLM Gateway. MEDLINE references are indexed with MEDICAL SUBJECT HEADINGS (MeSH). Index Medicus
D016896 Treatment Outcome Evaluation undertaken to assess the results or consequences of management and procedures used in combating disease in order to determine the efficacy, effectiveness, safety, and practicability of these interventions in individual cases or series. Rehabilitation Outcome,Treatment Effectiveness,Clinical Effectiveness,Clinical Efficacy,Patient-Relevant Outcome,Treatment Efficacy,Effectiveness, Clinical,Effectiveness, Treatment,Efficacy, Clinical,Efficacy, Treatment,Outcome, Patient-Relevant,Outcome, Rehabilitation,Outcome, Treatment,Outcomes, Patient-Relevant,Patient Relevant Outcome,Patient-Relevant Outcomes
D017594 Publication Bias The influence of study results on the chances of publication and the tendency of investigators, reviewers, and editors to submit or accept manuscripts for publication based on the direction or strength of the study findings. Publication bias has an impact on the interpretation of clinical trials and meta-analyses. Bias can be minimized by insistence by editors on high-quality research, thorough literature reviews, acknowledgement of conflicts of interest, modification of peer review practices, etc. Bias, Publication
D017712 Peer Review, Research The evaluation by experts of the quality and pertinence of research or research proposals of other experts in the same field. Peer review is used by editors in deciding which submissions warrant publication, by granting agencies to determine which proposals should be funded, and by academic institutions in tenure decisions. Grants, Peer Review,Peer Review, Grants,Peer Review, Publishing,Grant, Peer Review,Grants Peer Review,Grants Peer Reviews,Peer Review Grant,Peer Review Grants,Peer Reviews, Grants,Peer Reviews, Publishing,Peer Reviews, Research,Publishing Peer Review,Publishing Peer Reviews,Research Peer Review,Research Peer Reviews,Review Grant, Peer,Review Grants, Peer,Review, Grants Peer,Review, Publishing Peer,Review, Research Peer,Reviews, Grants Peer,Reviews, Publishing Peer,Reviews, Research Peer
D019317 Evidence-Based Medicine An approach of practicing medicine with the goal to improve and evaluate patient care. It requires the judicious integration of best research evidence with the patient's values to make decisions about medical care. This method is to help physicians make proper diagnosis, devise best testing plan, choose best treatment and methods of disease prevention, as well as develop guidelines for large groups of patients with the same disease. (from JAMA 296 (9), 2006) Medicine, Evidence-Based,Evidence Based Medicine,Medicine, Evidence Based

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