Vulnerability of the global terrestrial ecosystems to climate change. 2018

Delong Li, and Shuyao Wu, and Laibao Liu, and Yatong Zhang, and Shuangcheng Li
College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Climate change has far-reaching impacts on ecosystems. Recent attempts to quantify such impacts focus on measuring exposure to climate change but largely ignore ecosystem resistance and resilience, which may also affect the vulnerability outcomes. In this study, the relative vulnerability of global terrestrial ecosystems to short-term climate variability was assessed by simultaneously integrating exposure, sensitivity, and resilience at a high spatial resolution (0.05°). The results show that vulnerable areas are currently distributed primarily in plains. Responses to climate change vary among ecosystems and deserts and xeric shrublands are the most vulnerable biomes. Global vulnerability patterns are determined largely by exposure, while ecosystem sensitivity and resilience may exacerbate or alleviate external climate pressures at local scales; there is a highly significant negative correlation between exposure and sensitivity. Globally, 61.31% of the terrestrial vegetated area is capable of mitigating climate change impacts and those areas are concentrated in polar regions, boreal forests, tropical rainforests, and intact forests. Under current sensitivity and resilience conditions, vulnerable areas are projected to develop in high Northern Hemisphere latitudes in the future. The results suggest that integrating all three aspects of vulnerability (exposure, sensitivity, and resilience) may offer more comprehensive and spatially explicit adaptation strategies to reduce the impacts of climate change on terrestrial ecosystems.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D000064 Acclimatization Adaptation to a new environment or to a change in the old. Acclimation
D017753 Ecosystem A functional system which includes the organisms of a natural community together with their environment. (McGraw Hill Dictionary of Scientific and Technical Terms, 4th ed) Ecosystems,Biome,Ecologic System,Ecologic Systems,Ecological System,Habitat,Niche, Ecological,System, Ecological,Systems, Ecological,Biomes,Ecological Niche,Ecological Systems,Habitats,System, Ecologic,Systems, Ecologic
D057231 Climate Change Any significant change in measures of climate (such as temperature, precipitation, or wind) lasting for an extended period (decades or longer). It may result from natural factors such as changes in the sun's intensity, natural processes within the climate system such as changes in ocean circulation, or human activities. Change, Climate,Changes, Climate,Climate Changes
D065928 Forests An ecosystem dominated by trees and other woody vegetation. Forested Areas,Forestlands,Woodland,Area, Forested,Areas, Forested,Forest,Forested Area,Forestland,Woodlands

Related Publications

Delong Li, and Shuyao Wu, and Laibao Liu, and Yatong Zhang, and Shuangcheng Li
October 2008, The Science of the total environment,
Delong Li, and Shuyao Wu, and Laibao Liu, and Yatong Zhang, and Shuangcheng Li
January 2018, PloS one,
Delong Li, and Shuyao Wu, and Laibao Liu, and Yatong Zhang, and Shuangcheng Li
March 2016, Nature,
Delong Li, and Shuyao Wu, and Laibao Liu, and Yatong Zhang, and Shuangcheng Li
August 2018, Science (New York, N.Y.),
Delong Li, and Shuyao Wu, and Laibao Liu, and Yatong Zhang, and Shuangcheng Li
January 2015, Global change biology,
Delong Li, and Shuyao Wu, and Laibao Liu, and Yatong Zhang, and Shuangcheng Li
May 2024, Nature ecology & evolution,
Delong Li, and Shuyao Wu, and Laibao Liu, and Yatong Zhang, and Shuangcheng Li
November 2023, The Science of the total environment,
Delong Li, and Shuyao Wu, and Laibao Liu, and Yatong Zhang, and Shuangcheng Li
December 2008, Ecology letters,
Delong Li, and Shuyao Wu, and Laibao Liu, and Yatong Zhang, and Shuangcheng Li
April 2015, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,
Delong Li, and Shuyao Wu, and Laibao Liu, and Yatong Zhang, and Shuangcheng Li
October 1994, Trends in ecology & evolution,
Copied contents to your clipboard!