Deep Learning to Estimate Biological Age From Chest Radiographs. 2021

Vineet K Raghu, and Jakob Weiss, and Udo Hoffmann, and Hugo J W L Aerts, and Michael T Lu
Cardiovascular Imaging Research Center, Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Program for Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA. Electronic address: vraghu@mgh.harvard.edu.

The goal of this study was to assess whether a deep learning estimate of age from a chest radiograph image (CXR-Age) can predict longevity beyond chronological age. Chronological age is an imperfect measure of longevity. Biological age, a measure of overall health, may improve personalized care. This paper proposes a new way to estimate biological age using a convolutional neural network that takes as input a CXR image and outputs a chest x-ray age (in years) as a measure of long-term mortality risk. CXR-Age was developed using CXR from 116,035 individuals and validated in 2 held-out testing sets: 1) 75% of the CXR arm of PLCO (Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial) (N = 40,967); and 2) the CXR arm of NLST (National Lung Screening Trial) (N = 5,414). CXR-Age was compared to chronological age and a multivariable regression model of chronological age, risk factors, and radiograph findings to predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality with a maximum 23 years and 13 years of follow-up, respectively. The primary outcome was observed mortality; results are provided for the testing datasets only. In the PLCO testing dataset, a 5-year increase in CXR-Age carried a higher risk of all-cause mortality than a 5-year increase in chronological age (CXR-Age hazard ratio [HR]: 2.26 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.24 to 2.29] vs. chronological age HR: 1.77 [95% CI: 1.75 to 1.78]; p < 0.001). A similar pattern was found for cardiovascular mortality (CXR-Age cause-specific HR: 2.45 per 5 years [95% CI: 2.34 to 2.56] vs. chronological age HR: 1.82 per 5 years [95% CI: 1.74 to 1.90]). Similar results were seen for both outcomes in the NLST external testing dataset. Adding CXR-Age to the multivariable model resulted in significant improvements for predicting both outcomes in both testing datasets (p < 0.001 for all comparisons). Based on a CXR image, CXR-Age predicted long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008175 Lung Neoplasms Tumors or cancer of the LUNG. Cancer of Lung,Lung Cancer,Pulmonary Cancer,Pulmonary Neoplasms,Cancer of the Lung,Neoplasms, Lung,Neoplasms, Pulmonary,Cancer, Lung,Cancer, Pulmonary,Cancers, Lung,Cancers, Pulmonary,Lung Cancers,Lung Neoplasm,Neoplasm, Lung,Neoplasm, Pulmonary,Pulmonary Cancers,Pulmonary Neoplasm
D008297 Male Males
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D002675 Child, Preschool A child between the ages of 2 and 5. Children, Preschool,Preschool Child,Preschool Children
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000077321 Deep Learning Supervised or unsupervised machine learning methods that use multiple layers of data representations generated by nonlinear transformations, instead of individual task-specific ALGORITHMS, to build and train neural network models. Hierarchical Learning,Learning, Deep,Learning, Hierarchical
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D000375 Aging The gradual irreversible changes in structure and function of an organism that occur as a result of the passage of time. Senescence,Aging, Biological,Biological Aging
D055088 Early Detection of Cancer Methods to identify and characterize cancer in the early stages of disease and predict tumor behavior. Cancer Screening,Cancer Screening Tests,Early Diagnosis of Cancer,Cancer Early Detection,Cancer Early Diagnosis,Cancer Screening Test,Screening Test, Cancer,Screening Tests, Cancer,Screening, Cancer,Test, Cancer Screening,Tests, Cancer Screening
D055815 Young Adult A person between 19 and 24 years of age. Adult, Young,Adults, Young,Young Adults

Related Publications

Vineet K Raghu, and Jakob Weiss, and Udo Hoffmann, and Hugo J W L Aerts, and Michael T Lu
November 2021, JACC. Cardiovascular imaging,
Vineet K Raghu, and Jakob Weiss, and Udo Hoffmann, and Hugo J W L Aerts, and Michael T Lu
July 2019, JAMA network open,
Vineet K Raghu, and Jakob Weiss, and Udo Hoffmann, and Hugo J W L Aerts, and Michael T Lu
October 2021, Emergency radiology,
Vineet K Raghu, and Jakob Weiss, and Udo Hoffmann, and Hugo J W L Aerts, and Michael T Lu
January 2023, Nature computational science,
Vineet K Raghu, and Jakob Weiss, and Udo Hoffmann, and Hugo J W L Aerts, and Michael T Lu
October 2022, Journal of the American College of Radiology : JACR,
Vineet K Raghu, and Jakob Weiss, and Udo Hoffmann, and Hugo J W L Aerts, and Michael T Lu
March 2021, Radiology. Artificial intelligence,
Vineet K Raghu, and Jakob Weiss, and Udo Hoffmann, and Hugo J W L Aerts, and Michael T Lu
January 2023, International journal of cardiology,
Vineet K Raghu, and Jakob Weiss, and Udo Hoffmann, and Hugo J W L Aerts, and Michael T Lu
May 2021, Radiography (London, England : 1995),
Vineet K Raghu, and Jakob Weiss, and Udo Hoffmann, and Hugo J W L Aerts, and Michael T Lu
February 2023, Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland),
Vineet K Raghu, and Jakob Weiss, and Udo Hoffmann, and Hugo J W L Aerts, and Michael T Lu
February 2023, Radiology,
Copied contents to your clipboard!