DeepCompete : A deep learning approach to competing risks in continuous time domain. 2020

Aastha, and Pengyu Huang, and Yan Liu
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.

An increasing number of people survive longer ages leading to a growing population of people 65 years of age or older. A large percentage of this population is afflicted with multiple acute diseases (multi-morbidity). Clinicians need new tools to quantify the relative risk of an adverse event due to each competing disease and prioritize treatment among various diseases affecting a patient. Currently available deep learning survival analysis models have limited ability to incorporate multiple risks. Also, deep learning survival analysis models in current literature work predominantly in the discrete-time domain, while all biochemical processes continuously happen in the body. In this work, we introduce a novel architecture for a continuous-time deep learning model to combat these two issues, DeepCompete, aimed at survival analysis for competing risks. Our model learns the risk of each disease in an entirely data-driven fashion without making strong assumptions about the underlying stochastic processes. Further, we demonstrate that our model has superior results compared to state of the art continuous-time statistical models for survival analysis.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000077321 Deep Learning Supervised or unsupervised machine learning methods that use multiple layers of data representations generated by nonlinear transformations, instead of individual task-specific ALGORITHMS, to build and train neural network models. Hierarchical Learning,Learning, Deep,Learning, Hierarchical
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly
D012306 Risk The probability that an event will occur. It encompasses a variety of measures of the probability of a generally unfavorable outcome. Relative Risk,Relative Risks,Risk, Relative,Risks,Risks, Relative
D015233 Models, Statistical Statistical formulations or analyses which, when applied to data and found to fit the data, are then used to verify the assumptions and parameters used in the analysis. Examples of statistical models are the linear model, binomial model, polynomial model, two-parameter model, etc. Probabilistic Models,Statistical Models,Two-Parameter Models,Model, Statistical,Models, Binomial,Models, Polynomial,Statistical Model,Binomial Model,Binomial Models,Model, Binomial,Model, Polynomial,Model, Probabilistic,Model, Two-Parameter,Models, Probabilistic,Models, Two-Parameter,Polynomial Model,Polynomial Models,Probabilistic Model,Two Parameter Models,Two-Parameter Model
D016019 Survival Analysis A class of statistical procedures for estimating the survival function (function of time, starting with a population 100% well at a given time and providing the percentage of the population still well at later times). The survival analysis is then used for making inferences about the effects of treatments, prognostic factors, exposures, and other covariates on the function. Analysis, Survival,Analyses, Survival,Survival Analyses

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