Validation of the Trauma and Injury Severity Score for Prediction of Mortality in a Greek Trauma Population. 2022

Georgios Filippatos, and Maria Tsironi, and Sofia Zyga, and Panagiotis Andriopoulos
Department of Nursing, Faculty of Human Movement and Quality of Life Sciences, University of Peloponnese, Tripoli, Greece.

BACKGROUND Although the Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) has been extensively used for mortality risk adjustment in trauma, its applicability in contemporary trauma populations is increasingly questioned. OBJECTIVE The study aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of the TRISS in its original and revised version and compare these with a recalibrated version, including current data from a Greek trauma population. METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study of admitted trauma patients conducted in two tertiary Greek hospitals from January 2016 to December 2018. The model algorithm was calculated based on the Major Trauma Outcome Study coefficients (TRISSMTOS), the National Trauma Data Bank coefficients (TRISSNTDB), and reweighted coefficients of logistic regression obtained from a Greek trauma dataset (TRISSGrTD). The primary endpoint was inhospital mortality. Models' prediction was performed using discrimination and calibration statistics. RESULTS A total of 8,988 trauma patients were included, of whom 854 died (9.5%). The TRISSMTOS displayed excellent discrimination with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.912 (95% CI 0.902-0.923) and comparable with TRISSNTDB (AUC = 0.908, 95% CI 0.897-0.919, p = .1195). Calibration of both models was poor (Hosmer-Lemeshow test p < .001), tending to underestimate the probability of mortality across almost all risk groups. The TRISSGrTD resulted in statistically significant improvement in discrimination (AUC = 0.927, 95% CI 0.918-0.936, p < .0001) and acceptable calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test p = .113). CONCLUSIONS In this cohort of Greek trauma patients, the performance of the original TRISS was suboptimal, and there was no evidence that it has benefited from its latest revision. By contrast, a strong case exists for supporting a locally recalibrated version to render the TRISS applicable for mortality prediction and performance benchmarking.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D006115 Greece A country in southern Europe, bordering the Aegean Sea, Ionian Sea, and the Mediterranean Sea, between Albania and Turkey. The capital is Athens. Crete,Macedonia (Greece)
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D012189 Retrospective Studies Studies used to test etiologic hypotheses in which inferences about an exposure to putative causal factors are derived from data relating to characteristics of persons under study or to events or experiences in their past. The essential feature is that some of the persons under study have the disease or outcome of interest and their characteristics are compared with those of unaffected persons. Retrospective Study,Studies, Retrospective,Study, Retrospective
D014947 Wounds and Injuries Damage inflicted on the body as the direct or indirect result of an external force, with or without disruption of structural continuity. Injuries,Physical Trauma,Trauma,Injuries and Wounds,Injuries, Wounds,Research-Related Injuries,Wounds,Wounds and Injury,Wounds, Injury,Injury,Injury and Wounds,Injury, Research-Related,Physical Traumas,Research Related Injuries,Research-Related Injury,Trauma, Physical,Traumas,Wound
D015599 Trauma Severity Indices Systems for assessing, classifying, and coding injuries. These systems are used in medical records, surveillance systems, and state and national registries to aid in the collection and reporting of trauma. Trauma Severity Index,Trauma Severity Indexes,Index, Trauma Severity,Indexes, Trauma Severity,Indices, Trauma Severity,Severity Index, Trauma,Severity Indexes, Trauma,Severity Indices, Trauma
D015601 Injury Severity Score An anatomic severity scale based on the Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) and developed specifically to score multiple traumatic injuries. It has been used as a predictor of mortality. ISS Score,Injury Severity Scores,Score, Injury Severity,Scores, Injury Severity

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