Pharmacogenomics polygenic risk score for drug response prediction using PRS-PGx methods. 2022

Song Zhai, and Hong Zhang, and Devan V Mehrotra, and Judong Shen
Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA.

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) have been successfully developed for the prediction of human diseases and complex traits in the past years. For drug response prediction in randomized clinical trials, a common practice is to apply PRS built from a disease genome-wide association study (GWAS) directly to a corresponding pharmacogenomics (PGx) setting. Here, we show that such an approach relies on stringent assumptions about the prognostic and predictive effects of the selected genetic variants. We propose a shift from disease PRS to PGx PRS approaches by simultaneously modeling both the prognostic and predictive effects and further make this shift possible by developing a series of PRS-PGx methods, including a novel Bayesian regression approach (PRS-PGx-Bayes). Simulation studies show that PRS-PGx methods generally outperform the disease PRS methods and PRS-PGx-Bayes is superior to all other PRS-PGx methods. We further apply the PRS-PGx methods to PGx GWAS data from a large cardiovascular randomized clinical trial (IMPROVE-IT) to predict treatment related LDL cholesterol reduction. The results demonstrate substantial improvement of PRS-PGx-Bayes in both prediction accuracy and the capability of capturing the treatment-specific predictive effects while compared with the disease PRS approaches.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D010597 Pharmacogenetics A branch of genetics which deals with the genetic variability in individual responses to drugs and drug metabolism (BIOTRANSFORMATION). Pharmacogenomics
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D001499 Bayes Theorem A theorem in probability theory named for Thomas Bayes (1702-1761). In epidemiology, it is used to obtain the probability of disease in a group of people with some characteristic on the basis of the overall rate of that disease and of the likelihood of that characteristic in healthy and diseased individuals. The most familiar application is in clinical decision analysis where it is used for estimating the probability of a particular diagnosis given the appearance of some symptoms or test result. Bayesian Analysis,Bayesian Estimation,Bayesian Forecast,Bayesian Method,Bayesian Prediction,Analysis, Bayesian,Bayesian Approach,Approach, Bayesian,Approachs, Bayesian,Bayesian Approachs,Estimation, Bayesian,Forecast, Bayesian,Method, Bayesian,Prediction, Bayesian,Theorem, Bayes
D012307 Risk Factors An aspect of personal behavior or lifestyle, environmental exposure, inborn or inherited characteristic, which, based on epidemiological evidence, is known to be associated with a health-related condition considered important to prevent. Health Correlates,Risk Factor Scores,Risk Scores,Social Risk Factors,Population at Risk,Populations at Risk,Correlates, Health,Factor, Risk,Factor, Social Risk,Factors, Social Risk,Risk Factor,Risk Factor Score,Risk Factor, Social,Risk Factors, Social,Risk Score,Score, Risk,Score, Risk Factor,Social Risk Factor
D055106 Genome-Wide Association Study An analysis comparing the allele frequencies of all available (or a whole GENOME representative set of) polymorphic markers to identify gene candidates or quantitative trait loci associated with a specific organism trait or specific disease or condition. Genome Wide Association Analysis,Genome Wide Association Study,GWA Study,Genome Wide Association Scan,Genome Wide Association Studies,Whole Genome Association Analysis,Whole Genome Association Study,Association Studies, Genome-Wide,Association Study, Genome-Wide,GWA Studies,Genome-Wide Association Studies,Studies, GWA,Studies, Genome-Wide Association,Study, GWA,Study, Genome-Wide Association
D020022 Genetic Predisposition to Disease A latent susceptibility to disease at the genetic level, which may be activated under certain conditions. Genetic Predisposition,Genetic Susceptibility,Predisposition, Genetic,Susceptibility, Genetic,Genetic Predispositions,Genetic Susceptibilities,Predispositions, Genetic,Susceptibilities, Genetic
D020412 Multifactorial Inheritance A pattern of inheritance of a trait that includes the contributions from more than one gene. Oligogenic Inheritance,Polygenic Inheritance,Polygenic Traits,Complex Inheritance,Complex Traits,Multigenic Inheritance,Multigenic Traits,Oligogenic Traits,Polygenic Characters,Character, Polygenic,Characters, Polygenic,Complex Trait,Inheritance, Complex,Inheritance, Multifactorial,Inheritance, Multigenic,Inheritance, Oligogenic,Inheritance, Polygenic,Multigenic Trait,Oligogenic Trait,Polygenic Character,Polygenic Trait,Trait, Complex,Trait, Multigenic,Trait, Oligogenic,Trait, Polygenic,Traits, Complex,Traits, Multigenic,Traits, Oligogenic,Traits, Polygenic
D020641 Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide A single nucleotide variation in a genetic sequence that occurs at appreciable frequency in the population. SNPs,Single Nucleotide Polymorphism,Nucleotide Polymorphism, Single,Nucleotide Polymorphisms, Single,Polymorphisms, Single Nucleotide,Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms

Related Publications

Song Zhai, and Hong Zhang, and Devan V Mehrotra, and Judong Shen
November 2023, Briefings in bioinformatics,
Song Zhai, and Hong Zhang, and Devan V Mehrotra, and Judong Shen
January 2023, Klinicka onkologie : casopis Ceske a Slovenske onkologicke spolecnosti,
Song Zhai, and Hong Zhang, and Devan V Mehrotra, and Judong Shen
November 2022, Human genetics,
Song Zhai, and Hong Zhang, and Devan V Mehrotra, and Judong Shen
January 2021, Frontiers in reproductive health,
Song Zhai, and Hong Zhang, and Devan V Mehrotra, and Judong Shen
October 2020, Scientific reports,
Song Zhai, and Hong Zhang, and Devan V Mehrotra, and Judong Shen
February 2024, Communications biology,
Song Zhai, and Hong Zhang, and Devan V Mehrotra, and Judong Shen
January 2022, Nature genetics,
Song Zhai, and Hong Zhang, and Devan V Mehrotra, and Judong Shen
April 2022, European journal of human genetics : EJHG,
Song Zhai, and Hong Zhang, and Devan V Mehrotra, and Judong Shen
April 2023, JAMA internal medicine,
Song Zhai, and Hong Zhang, and Devan V Mehrotra, and Judong Shen
February 2024, Genome medicine,
Copied contents to your clipboard!