Neural network predicted peak and trough gentamicin concentrations. 1995

M E Brier, and J M Zurada, and G R Aronoff
Department of Medicine, University of Louisville, Kentucky, USA.

Predictions of steady state peak and trough serum gentamicin concentrations were compared between a traditional population kinetic method using the computer program NONMEM to an empirical approach using neural networks. Predictions were made in 111 patients with peak concentrations between 2.5 and 6.0 micrograms/ml using the patient factors age, height, weight, dose, dose interval, body surface area, serum creatinine, and creatinine clearance. Predictions were also made on 33 observations that were outside the 2.5 and 6.0 micrograms/ml range. Neural networks made peak serum concentration predictions within the 2.5-6.0 micrograms/ml range with statistically less bias and comparable precision with paired NONMEM predictions. Trough serum concentration predictions were similar using both neural networks and NONMEM. The prediction error for peak serum concentrations averaged 16.5% for the neural networks and 18.6% for NONMEM. Average prediction errors for serum trough concentrations were 48.3% for neural networks and 59.0% for NONMEM. NONMEM provided numerically more precise and less biased predictions when extrapolating outside the 2.5 and 6.0 micrograms/ml range. The observed peak serum concentration distribution was multimodal and the neural network reproduced this distribution with less difference between the actual distribution and the predicted distribution than NONMEM. It is concluded that neural networks can predict serum drug concentrations of gentamicin. Neural networks may be useful in predicting the clinical pharmacokinetics of drugs.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007700 Kinetics The rate dynamics in chemical or physical systems.
D008297 Male Males
D008433 Mathematics The deductive study of shape, quantity, and dependence. (From McGraw-Hill Dictionary of Scientific and Technical Terms, 6th ed) Mathematic
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D005260 Female Females
D005839 Gentamicins A complex of closely related aminoglycosides obtained from MICROMONOSPORA purpurea and related species. They are broad-spectrum antibiotics, but may cause ear and kidney damage. They act to inhibit PROTEIN BIOSYNTHESIS. Gentamicin Sulfate (USP),Gentamycin,G-Myticin,Garamycin,Gentacycol,Gentamicin,Gentamicin Sulfate,Gentamycins,Gentavet,Genticin,G Myticin,GMyticin,Sulfate, Gentamicin
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly
D000369 Aged, 80 and over Persons 80 years of age and older. Oldest Old

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