Statistical approach to neural network model building for gentamicin peak predictions. 1996

B P Smith, and M E Brier
Kidney Disease Program, University of Louisville, KY 40292, USA.

Feed forward neural networks are flexible, nonlinear modeling tools that are an extension of traditional statistical techniques. The hypothesis that feed forward neural network models can be built in a similar fashion as a statistical model was tested. Feed forward neural network models were built using forward and backward variable selection, and zero to five hidden nodes, and tanh and linear transfer functions were used. Gentamicin serum concentrations were predicted as a model drug for testing these methods. Peak observations from 392 patients were used to train, test, and validate the feed forward neural network. Inputs were demographic and drug dosing information. Model selection was performed using the Akaike information criteria (AIC), Bayesian information criteria (BIC), and a method of stopped training. The models with lowest root mean square (rms) error were those with all 10 inputs and five hidden nodes. Average rms error in the validation set was lowest for stopped training (1.46), then AIC (1.51), and finally BIC (1.56). Larger models tended to result in the best predictions. Overfitting can occur in models that are too large, either by using too many nodes in the hidden layer (rms = 1.49) or by using too many inputs with little information associated with them (rms = 1.70). We conclude that neural networks can be built using a large number of parameters that have good predictive performance. Care must be used during training to avoid overfitting the data. A stopped training method resulted in the network with the lowest rms error.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008432 Mathematical Computing Computer-assisted interpretation and analysis of various mathematical functions related to a particular problem. Statistical Computing,Computing, Statistical,Mathematic Computing,Statistical Programs, Computer Based,Computing, Mathematic,Computing, Mathematical,Computings, Mathematic,Computings, Mathematical,Computings, Statistical,Mathematic Computings,Mathematical Computings,Statistical Computings
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D005260 Female Females
D005839 Gentamicins A complex of closely related aminoglycosides obtained from MICROMONOSPORA purpurea and related species. They are broad-spectrum antibiotics, but may cause ear and kidney damage. They act to inhibit PROTEIN BIOSYNTHESIS. Gentamicin Sulfate (USP),Gentamycin,G-Myticin,Garamycin,Gentacycol,Gentamicin,Gentamicin Sulfate,Gentamycins,Gentavet,Genticin,G Myticin,GMyticin,Sulfate, Gentamicin
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly
D000369 Aged, 80 and over Persons 80 years of age and older. Oldest Old

Related Publications

B P Smith, and M E Brier
March 1995, Pharmaceutical research,
B P Smith, and M E Brier
April 2000, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association (1995),
B P Smith, and M E Brier
January 1991, IEEE transactions on neural networks,
B P Smith, and M E Brier
March 2022, BMC genomics,
B P Smith, and M E Brier
April 2023, Acta crystallographica. Section D, Structural biology,
B P Smith, and M E Brier
February 2018, Sensors (Basel, Switzerland),
B P Smith, and M E Brier
April 2018, Entropy (Basel, Switzerland),
B P Smith, and M E Brier
July 2002, Computers in biology and medicine,
B P Smith, and M E Brier
December 1999, Journal of electromyography and kinesiology : official journal of the International Society of Electrophysiological Kinesiology,
Copied contents to your clipboard!