Prospective evaluation of prognostic scoring systems in peritonitis. Peritonitis Study Group. 1993

C Ohmann, and D H Wittmann, and H Wacha
Department of General and Trauma Surgery, Heinrich-Heine-University, Düsseldorf, Germany.

OBJECTIVE To assess the accuracy of the APACHE II score, the Mannheim Peritonitis Index (MPI), and the Peritonitis Index Altona (PIA) II in the prediction of outcome of patients with peritonitis. METHODS Prospective, multicentre study. METHODS 12 Departments of Surgery in Europe. METHODS 271 Patients with peritonitis confirmed at laparatomy. METHODS Computation of the three scores on one set of data for each patient. METHODS The ability to predict death or survival within 30 days of operation with each of the three scores. The prediction were evaluated according to the following criteria: discriminatory ability (areas under the receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curves relating sensitivity to specificity); sharpness (level of confidence that was associated with a prediction); and reliability (agreement between predicted and observed mortality within equidistant intervals on the scale). RESULTS APACHE II was superior to both the MPI and PIA II in its discriminatory ability and reliability, but the MPI and PIA II made more "sharp" predictions. CONCLUSIONS None of the three scores is of any use for predicting the outcome for individual patients. APACHE II is the current standard for assessing the severity of peritonitis.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D010538 Peritonitis INFLAMMATION of the PERITONEUM lining the ABDOMINAL CAVITY as the result of infectious, autoimmune, or chemical processes. Primary peritonitis is due to infection of the PERITONEAL CAVITY via hematogenous or lymphatic spread and without intra-abdominal source. Secondary peritonitis arises from the ABDOMINAL CAVITY itself through RUPTURE or ABSCESS of intra-abdominal organs. Primary Peritonitis,Secondary Peritonitis,Peritonitis, Primary,Peritonitis, Secondary
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D011446 Prospective Studies Observation of a population for a sufficient number of persons over a sufficient number of years to generate incidence or mortality rates subsequent to the selection of the study group. Prospective Study,Studies, Prospective,Study, Prospective
D005069 Evaluation Studies as Topic Works about studies that determine the effectiveness or value of processes, personnel, and equipment, or the material on conducting such studies. Critique,Evaluation Indexes,Evaluation Methodology,Evaluation Report,Evaluation Research,Methodology, Evaluation,Pre-Post Tests,Qualitative Evaluation,Quantitative Evaluation,Theoretical Effectiveness,Use-Effectiveness,Critiques,Effectiveness, Theoretical,Evaluation Methodologies,Evaluation Reports,Evaluation, Qualitative,Evaluation, Quantitative,Evaluations, Qualitative,Evaluations, Quantitative,Indexes, Evaluation,Methodologies, Evaluation,Pre Post Tests,Pre-Post Test,Qualitative Evaluations,Quantitative Evaluations,Report, Evaluation,Reports, Evaluation,Research, Evaluation,Test, Pre-Post,Tests, Pre-Post,Use Effectiveness
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults

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